The Milwaukee Brewers will play host to the Chicago Cubs at Miller Park. The matchup will be televised nationally on Fox Sports One and the game gets underway 3:05 p.m. ET.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-130) is the favorite over Chicago (+110) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). The game’s current runline odds stand at -135 for taking the Cubs -1.5 runs and +125 for the Brewers +1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 5-3 SU and 2-5 ATS. The team has gained 0.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.7 units against the spread (ATS). The Cubs have gone 3-4 SU this year and are 3-3 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 2.4 units for moneyline gamblers this year and 0.5 units ATS.
Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 3-4 so far in 2018. The Cubs have an over/under record of 2-4.
The Cubs have gained 0.6 units and are 2-1 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in two of those games, as opposed to one that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 0.1 units and are 1-3 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in two of those games, compared to two that went under.
The right-handed Yu Darvish (0-0, 10.38 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Cubbies. Darvish recorded 209 strikeouts in 186 innings last year (31 starts) but finished the season 10-12 overall with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP.
The Brewers have tabbed righty Zach Davies (0-1, 9.53 ERA) as their starter. Davies started 33 games last year while finishing the season 17-9 overall with a 3.90 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. He made five starts against Chicago a year ago and registered a 2-2 record with a 3.66 ERA and 24 strikeouts.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 6.10 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 2.21 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In five divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 7.13 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.57.
Milwaukee’s hitters have produced 3.9 runs per outing, including 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .241/.299/.406 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ batters so far. Yelich is slashing .385/.407/.577 with 10 hits, five RBIs and six runs scored, and Cain is batting .294 with 10 hits, four RBIs and four runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 3.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.91 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 5.89 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 0.84, along with a K-per-9 of 9.74.
Cubs hitters have slashed .221/.321/.364 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Chicago’s hitters have been led by third baseman Kris Bryant and shortstop Addison Russell. Bryant is slashing .300/.432/.500 with nine hits, five RBIs and four runs scored, while Russell is slashing .308/.438/.423 with eight hits, two RBIs and three runs scored.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Brewers went 9-10 SU against the Cubs last season.
The Brewers’ bullpen managed 4.15 ERA against the Cubs last year.
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