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Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Free Preview 06/12/18

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Cubs will play their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. NBC Sports Chicago will televise the matchup and the game gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Oddsmakers have put equal moneyline odds (-105) on each team. Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds posted at -125 for over 9 runs and +105 for under 9. The game’s current runline odds sit at +140 for betting the Cubs -1.5 runs and -160 for the Brewers +1.5 runs.

The Cubs are 38-25 SU and are 31-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 1.3 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 39-27 SU and 37-28 ATS. The team’s gained 13.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.2 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Brewers games have an over/under record of 25-38-2 so far in 2018. The Cubs have also been a good under bet with a total record of 25-36-1.

The right-handed Tyler Chatwood will get the start for Chicago. Chatwood is 3-4 with a 3.86 ERA and 53 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Chase Anderson (4-5, 4.57 ERA, 1.25 WHIP), who has 43 strikeouts and 26 walks. Anderson is 0-2 with four strikeouts and a 2.08 ERA across two starts against Chicago this year.

Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.49 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.19 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.73, along with a WHIP of 1.29.

Cubs hitters have slashed .261/.345/.422 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Third baseman Kris Bryant and left fielder Albert Almora Jr. have paced Chicago’s offense. Bryant is hitting .286/.396/.489 with eight home runs, 29 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Almora Jr. (.323/.374/.441) has produced two homers, 17 RBIs and 36 runs scored.

For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 4.12 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.70, a WHIP of 1.16 and a K/9 of 10.4. In 27 games against NL Central foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.01 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.62.

Milwaukee’s offense is putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 2.8 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .276/.330/.476 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich have led the Brewers’ hitters this year. Cain is slashing .288/.388/.433 with seven home runs, 21 RBIs, 37 runs and 12 stolen bases, and Yelich’s line is .307/.375/.484 with eight homers, 28 RBIs, 42 runs and seven steals.

The Cubs have lost 3.9 units and are 23-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 14.7 units and are 31-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 18 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under.

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The Cubs have won five of their last six games SU.

Chicago has posted 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.4 over its last five.

The Cubs have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 15 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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