The Chicago Cubs will play the New York Mets at Citi Field. This NL matchup gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can watch the game on either NSC+ or SNY.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Odds
New York (+115) is the underdog against Chicago (-125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at eight runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Cubs -1.5 runs (+120) and Mets +1.5 runs (-140).
The Mets are 27-27 SU and 26-26 ATS. The team has lost 2.7 units for moneyline bettors and 8.9e-16 units against the spread (ATS). On the other hand, the Cubs are 30-23 SU and have gone 24-28 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 5.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 4.1 units ATS.
Mets games have an over/under record of 23-28-1 so far in 2018. The Cubs have been a decent under bet with a total record of 22-29-1.
Right-hander Tyler Chatwood is projected to start for the visiting Cubs. Chatwood is 3-4 with a 4.10 ERA and 44 strikeouts. He has yet to face New York this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2017, posting a 0-2 record with a 19.06 ERA and two strikeouts.
The Mets are going with righty Zack Wheeler (2-4, 5.40 ERA), who has 53 strikeouts and 19 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.48. Wheeler only made one start against the Cubs in 2017 (0-1, 43.20 ERA and three strikeouts across one and 2-third innings).
Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.72 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.33 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.68, along with a WHIP of 1.33.
Cubs hitters have slashed .263/.347/.436 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Second baseman Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant have paced Chicago’s offense. Baez is slashing .271/.304/.562 with 13 home runs, 43 RBIs, 33 runs and seven stolen bases, while Bryant (.286/.401/.524) is up to eight homers, 27 RBIs and 32 runs scored.
For the home team, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.03 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.41 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
The New York hitters have put up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .260/.340/.439 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is hitting .303/.344/.529 with 10 home runs, 34 RBIs and 30 runs scored, and Rosario’s line is .259/.286/.385 with three homers, 18 RBIs and 22 runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .280/.351/.434, Cabrera didn’t do very well at home last year, slashing .245/.315/.366 over 241 plate appearances.
The Cubs have lost 7.0 units and are 17-22 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 1.5 units and are 18-20 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 20 that went under the total.
Chicago Cubs at New York Mets Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in five of Chicago’s last seven games.
The Cubs have won four of their last five games SU.
New York has posted 23.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.4 over its last five.
Each team has hit 13 home runs over its last 10 games.
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