The San Diego Padres are set to host the Chicago Cubs at PETCO Park. NBC Sports Chicago will be showing this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres Odds
Vegas is listing San Diego (+120) as the underdog to Chicago (-130). The total stands at eight runs and bettors can wager on either the over or the under for -110. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Cubs -1.5 runs (+115) and Padres +1.5 runs (-135).
The Cubs are 52-38 SU and are 46-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.6 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 3.4 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 40-56 SU and 44-51 ATS. They’ve lost 5.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 23.5 units ATS. San Diego has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Padres games have had an over/under record of 42-50-3 so far in 2018. The Cubs have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 40-49-1.
Tyler Chatwood will get the start for the Cubbies. The right-handed Chatwood (3-5, 5.01 ERA) has racked up 74 strikeouts in 79 innings so far. He has yet to face San Diego this year, but he did make four starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 2-2 record with a 4.07 ERA and 22 strikeouts.
The Padres are putting the ball in the left hand of Clayton Richard (7-8, 4.50 ERA), who has 88 punchouts and 42 walks this season as well as a 1.29 WHIP. Richard only made one start against the Cubs in 2017 (0-0, 2.84 ERA and three strikeouts across 6.1 innings).
As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 4.68 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.62 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
The San Diego hitters have produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.0 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .205/.263/.326 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
First baseman Eric Hosmer and outfielder Jose Pirela have led the Padres’ offense this year. Hosmer is hitting .250/.321/.396 with nine home runs, 38 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Pirela is batting .260 with three homers, 27 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.86 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.64 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.04, along with a WHIP of 1.35 and a K/9 of 9.08.
Cubs hitters have slashed .264/.347/.425 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Javier Baez and left fielder Albert Almora Jr. continue to lead Chicago’s hitters. Baez is hitting .289/.323/.559 with 18 home runs, 66 RBIs, 57 runs and 17 stolen bases. Almora Jr. is hitting .317/.356/.439 with four homers, 28 RBIs and 47 runs scored.
The Cubs have gained 6.3 units and are 13-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in nine of those games, compared to 12 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Padres have netted 2.9 units and are 34-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 26 of those games, as opposed to 36 which went under the total.
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in three of San Diego’s last seven games.
The Cubs have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 11 over their last 10.
San Diego has recorded 18.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.4 over its last five.
The Padres have dropped three of their last four games SU.
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