The Atlanta Braves are set to host the Chicago Cubs at SunTrust Park. WGN is in line to televise this NL matchup and the action gets underway at 7:35 p.m. ET.
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
Chicago (+120) is entering this one as the underdog to Atlanta (-130) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -175 for the Cubs +1.5 runs and +155 for the Braves -1.5.
The Braves are 74-58 straight up (SU) and 68-62 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 19.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.0 units (ATS). Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. On the other hand, the Cubs are 78-54 SU and have gone 66-64 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 4.2 units for moneyline bettors and 1.6 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Atlanta games have an over/under record of 60-65-5 in 2018. The Cubs have been a good under bet with a total record of 57-70-3.
The left-handed Mike Montgomery is projected to start for the visiting Cubbies. Montgomery is 4-4 with a 3.62 ERA and 61 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against Atlanta this year.
The Braves will send righty Mike Foltynewicz (10-8, 2.67 ERA) to the mound. Foltynewicz has 169 strikeouts and 56 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.13. Foltynewicz is 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.
Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.53, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.03 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The Atlanta offense is putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .262/.337/.375 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have paced the Braves’ offense this year. Markakis is hitting .310/.373/.475 with 14 home runs, 83 RBIs and 71 runs scored, while Freeman is batting .310 with 20 homers, 78 RBIs and 81 runs.
For the visitors, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.00 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.60 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.26, along with a K/9 of 8.68.
The Cubs offense has slashed .264/.343/.422 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Chicago’s offense has been led by second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo, who collectively have launched 50 home runs. Baez is slashing .297/.329/.573 with 28 home runs, 97 RBIs, 81 runs and 21 steals, while Rizzo is hitting .282/.376/.482 with 22 homers, 86 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
The Cubs have lost 1.9 units and are 50-52 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 44 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have lost 2.3 units and are 16-22 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 18 that went under the total.
Chicago Cubs at Atlanta Braves Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in three of Chicago’s last seven games.
The Cubs have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 10 over their last 10.
Atlanta has recorded 20.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.4 over its last five.
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