The red-hot Cincinnati Reds will go for their seventh win in a row when they play host to the Chicago Cubs at Great American Ball Park. NBC Sports Chicago will be televising the matchup and the game will get going at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
The Reds are 42-33 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 31-45 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 8.7 units for moneyline bettors and 1.1 units (ATS). The Cubs have gone 42-32 SU this year and are 37-36 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 3.5 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 2.0 units ATS.
Reds games have a 35-38-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Chicago has been a good under bet with a total record of 29-43-1.
Tyler Chatwood is getting the start for the Cubbies. The right-handed Chatwood is 3-5 with a 3.95 ERA and 64 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are putting the ball in the right hand of Sal Romano (4-7, 5.17 ERA, 1.45 WHIP), who’s got 56 strikeouts and 35 walks. Romano is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 12.60 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 5.30, a WHIP of 1.47 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 4.01 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 34 games against NL Central opponents, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.67 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.02.
Cincinnati’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .317/.415/.557 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that span.
The Reds’ offense has been led by Scooter Gennett, who is hitting .332/.367/.534 with 13 home runs, 51 RBIs and 39 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.53 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.92 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.01, along with a WHIP of 1.29.
The Cubs offense has slashed .257/.341/.414 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Kris Bryant has led Chicago’s offense and is hitting .280/.383/.481 with nine home runs, 36 RBIs and 40 runs scored.
The Reds are looking for another win following an 11-2 victory in the prior game of the series.
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in five of Chicago’s last seven games.
The Cubs have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 16 over their last 10.
Cincinnati has averaged 25.5 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 28.6 over its last five.
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