The Chicago Cubs will make a road trip to Milwaukee to face their division rival Brewers at Miller Park. The matchup will begin at 2:10 p.m. ET and WGN will be showing the game.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Chicago (-135) as the favorite over Milwaukee (+125). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -125 and the under for +105. The game’s current runline odds stand at +110 for taking the Cubs -1.5 runs and -130 for the Brewers +1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 77-61 straight up (SU) and 69-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.7 units (ATS). Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Cubs are 81-55 SU and have gone 69-66 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 4.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.9 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 66-67-4 in 2018. The Cubs have been a decent under bet with a total record of 59-73-3.
Cole Hamels is getting the nod for Chicago. The southpaw Hamels is 9-9 with a 3.70 ERA and 152 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Brewers are putting the ball in the hands of righty Zach Davies (2-5, 5.23 ERA), who has 31 strikeouts and 17 walks, as well as a 1.44 WHIP. Davies is 0-1 with 11 strikeouts and a 2.31 ERA over two starts against Chicago this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has yielded 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.03, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.83 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 58 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.84 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.45.
The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .283/.360/.524 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .316/.381/.559 with 27 home runs, 81 RBIs, 96 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Cain’s line is .307/.397/.433 with 10 homers, 34 RBIs, 72 runs and 24 stolen bases.
For the visitors, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.95 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.66 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.21, along with a WHIP of 1.36.
The Cubs offense has slashed .263/.342/.423 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo have led Chicago’s hitters. Baez is slashing .299/.331/.581 with 30 home runs, 100 RBIs, 85 runs and 21 stolen bases, while Rizzo (.280/.377/.480) is up to 23 homers, 88 RBIs and 63 runs scored.
The Cubs have gained 0.3 units and are 53-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 45 of those games, as opposed to 58 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 3.5 units and are 14-19 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 13 that’ve gone under.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Chicago has tallied 19 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Milwaukee has 21 XBH over its last five.
The Brewers have won four of their last five games SU.
Milwaukee has posted 27 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 28 over its last five.
The Cubs have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 21 over their last 10.
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