The Chicago Cubs will be taking on their NL Central nemesis Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. The matchup will get going at 8:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will be airing the game.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-115) is hosting this one as the favorite over Chicago (+105) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Cubs +1.5 runs (-200) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+170).
The Brewers are 78-61 straight up (SU) and 70-68 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 11.7 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 2.4 units (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 81-56 SU and have gone 70-66 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 5.6 units for moneyline bettors and 3.9 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 67-67-4 in 2018. The Cubs have been a good under bet with a total record of 60-73-3.
Mike Montgomery will get the start for the visiting Cubs. The left-handed Montgomery is 4-4 with a 3.82 ERA and 67 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with five strikeouts and a 2.84 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are sending lefty Wade Miley (2-2, 2.18 ERA) to the mound. Miley has 39 strikeouts and 22 walks to his name, as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Miley hasn’t faced the Cubs yet this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 13.50 ERA and four strikeouts across 4.2 innings).
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 4.01 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.84 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 59 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.80 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.45.
The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .225/.330/.393 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is hitting .315/.379/.556 with 27 home runs, 83 RBIs, 96 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Cain’s line is .309/.398/.433 with 10 homers, 35 RBIs, 73 runs and 25 steals.
In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.94 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.66 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.22, along with a WHIP of 1.36 and a K-per-9 of 8.72.
The Cubs offense has slashed .263/.341/.422 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Chicago’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo, who have already combined to drive in 190 runs. Baez is slashing .299/.330/.578 with 30 home runs, 100 RBIs, 86 runs and 21 stolen bases, while Rizzo (.284/.379/.489) is up to 24 homers, 90 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
The Cubs have gained 4.1 units and are 16-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 3.5 units and are 14-19 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 13 that went under.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in four of Chicago’s last seven games.
The Brewers have won five of their last six games SU.
Milwaukee has recorded 25.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.2 over its last five.
The Cubs have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 20 over their last 10.
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