The Chicago Cubs will be squaring off against the New York Mets at Citi Field. The game gets going at 1:10 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be shown on either WLS or WPIX.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Odds
Vegas is listing Chicago (-145) as the favorite over New York (+135). The total is sitting at 7.5 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -115 and the under for -105. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Cubs -1.5 runs (+100) and Mets +1.5 runs (-120).
The Mets are 27-29 SU and 26-28 ATS. The team’s lost 4.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.7 units against the spread (ATS). On the other hand, the Cubs are 32-23 SU and have gone 26-28 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 3.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.7 units ATS.
New York games have an over/under record of 24-29-1 so far in 2018. The Cubs have been a decent under bet with a total record of 23-30-1.
Left-hander Jon Lester will get the start for Chicago. Lester is 5-2 with a 2.71 ERA and 54 strikeouts. He has yet to face New York this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 2-0 record with a 2.08 ERA and 15 strikeouts.
The Mets are going with lefty Steven Matz (2-3, 3.55 ERA), who has 41 punchouts and 21 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Matz did not record a start against the Cubs in 2017.
Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.67 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.22 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.61, along with a K/9 of 9.17.
The Cubs offense has slashed .267/.350/.437 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Third baseman Kris Bryant and second baseman Javier Baez continue to lead Chicago’s offense. Bryant is slashing .289/.400/.512 with eight home runs, 28 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Baez has a .271 average with 14 homers, 45 RBIs, 34 runs and seven steals.
Putting up a slash line of .348/.488/.561 across 84 plate appearances, Bryant performed well against left-handed pitching on the road in 2017 (compared to his overall season line of .295/.409/.537).
In the home-team dugout, New York’s pitchers have yielded 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.94, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 4.66 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.
The New York offense is putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .198/.288/.368 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ batters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is hitting .294/.336/.509 with 10 home runs, 34 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .257/.286/.377 with three homers, 18 RBIs and 23 runs.
The Cubs have gained 1.6 units and are 7-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 2.2 units and are 8-7 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in six of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in three of New York’s last seven games.
The Cubs have won six of their last seven games SU while the Mets have lost four of their last five SU.
New York has posted 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.6 over its last five.
The Cubs have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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