The Chicago Cubs are ready to take on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and WGN will be airing this NL matchup.
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres Odds
San Diego (+155) is coming into this one as the underdog against Chicago (-165) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Cubs -1.5 runs (-115) and Padres +1.5 runs (-105).
The Cubs have gone 54-38 SU this year and are 46-45 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 0.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 2.4 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 40-58 SU and 46-51 ATS. The team has lost 7.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 21.3 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Padres games have an over/under record of 43-51-3 thus far in 2018. Cubs games have gone under 49 times, gone over 41 times and pushed on one occasion.
Left-hander Jon Lester is getting the nod for Chicago. Lester is 11-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 81 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 3.00 ERA and seven strikeouts over six innings).
The Padres are turning to Eric Lauer (5-5, 4.40 ERA), who has 64 punchouts and 31 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.64. Lauer did not pitch in the majors last season.
San Diego’s pitchers have yielded 4.7 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have a 4.71 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.70 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
The San Diego hitters are putting up 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .231/.293/.391 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Padres’ hitters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and outfielder Jose Pirela. Hosmer is slashing .247/.316/.397 with 10 home runs, 41 RBIs and 40 runs scored, and Pirela’s line is .258/.310/.353 with three homers, 27 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.87 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.58 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.10, along with a WHIP of 1.34.
The Cubs offense has slashed .265/.347/.427 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game this season, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Javier Baez and left fielder Albert Almora Jr. have led Chicago’s hitters. Baez is slashing .293/.328/.571 with 19 home runs, 71 RBIs, 60 runs and 18 stolen bases, while Almora Jr. is slashing .319/.357/.438 with four homers, 28 RBIs and 48 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 8.1 units and are 10-20 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 16 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under.
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in four of San Diego’s last seven games.
The Padres have dropped five of their last six games SU.
San Diego has posted 19.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.2 over its last five.
The Cubs have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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