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Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Free Pick 07/09/18

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants are playing host to the Chicago Cubs at AT&T Park. NBC Sports Chicago is in line to televise this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 10:15 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants Odds

Oddsmakers are listing San Francisco (+110) as the underdog to Chicago (-120). The total stands at 7.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -115 and the under for -105. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at +125 for the Cubs -1.5 runs and -145 for the Giants +1.5 runs.

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The Giants are 47-45 straight up (SU) and 50-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 7.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.3 units (ATS). San Francisco has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Cubs have gone 51-36 SU this year and are 44-42 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 0.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have gained 3.4 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

San Francisco games have a 43-46-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Chicago has been a decent under bet with a total record of 38-47-1.

Right-hander Kyle Hendricks will get the nod for the visiting Cubs. Hendricks is 5-8 with a 4.27 ERA and 72 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against San Francisco this year.

The Giants will turn to lefty Andrew Suarez (3-5, 3.92 ERA), who’s got 72 strikeouts and 15 walks to his credit as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Suarez has yet to face the Cubs this year and did not pitch in the majors last season.

As a unit, San Francisco’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 4.31, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.1. The bullpen has a 3.79 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.

The San Francisco offense is putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .223/.275/.313 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Giants’ hitters have been led by shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen. Crawford is hitting .300/.365/.479 with 10 home runs, 39 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while McCutchen is hitting .262 with nine homers, 39 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

For the visitors, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.94 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.73 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.11, along with a K/9 of 9.05.

Cubs hitters have slashed .268/.350/.429 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this year, including 7.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Chicago’s hitters have been led by second baseman Javier Baez and left fielder Albert Almora Jr., who collectively have blasted 21 home runs. Baez is hitting .295/.328/.565 with 17 home runs, 65 RBIs, 56 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Almora Jr. is slashing .326/.365/.452 with four homers, 28 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

The Cubs have gained 6.3 units and are 11-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 5.3 units and are 32-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 24 of those games, compared to 30 which went under the total.

Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in just two of San Francisco’s last seven games.

The Cubs have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit seven over their last 10.

The Chicago defense has allowed eight errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for San Francisco over its last 10.

The Cubs have won eight of their last nine games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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