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Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox Free Pick 06/09/18

Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox are facing off against the Chicago White Sox at Fenway Park. NBC Sports Chicago will be televising this AL matchup. The game is slated to get underway at 4:05 p.m. ET.

Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox Odds

Chicago (+205) is the underdog against Boston (-225) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at White Sox +1.5 runs (-105) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (-115).

The Red Sox are 43-21 SU and 35-28 ATS. They’ve gained 15.0 units for moneyline bettors and 6.6 units against the spread (ATS). Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The White Sox are 21-40 SU and have gone 31-29 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 15.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.0 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Boston games have had an over/under record of 31-30-2 thus far in 2018. Chicago has an over/under record of 26-29-5.

Left-hander Carlos Rodon is the projected starter for the visiting White Sox. Rodon is 0-0 with an ERA. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 2.35 ERA and 11 strikeouts over seven and two-third innings).

The Red Sox will turn to lefty David Price (6-4, 4.08 ERA), who has 66 punchouts and 27 walks to his name as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Price only made one start against the White Sox in 2017 (0-0, 5.40 ERA and four strikeouts across five innings).

As a unit, Boston’s pitchers have yielded 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 3.81 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.06, a WHIP of 1.18 and a K/9 of 9.5.

The Boston hitters are putting up 5.2 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .278/.337/.479 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Red Sox batters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi. Martinez is hitting .314/.374/.646 with 20 home runs, 52 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while Benintendi is batting .298 with 11 homers, 44 RBIs, 45 runs and 10 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.42 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 6.20 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.06, along with a WHIP of 1.47.

White Sox hitters have slashed .244/.307/.408 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez continue to lead Chicago’s hitters. Abreu is hitting .295/.352/.519 with 10 home runs, 36 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Sanchez (.276/.313/.413) has produced three homers, 27 RBIs and 24 runs scored.

The White Sox have lost 3.5 units and are 8-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 2.7 units and are 5-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in six of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under.

Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The White Sox have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 15 over their last 10.

Chicago has recorded 18.0 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.4 over its last five.

The White Sox have won three of their last four games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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