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Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers Free Pick 08/25/18

Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Tigers are facing off against the Chicago White Sox at Comerica Park. The action will get underway at 6:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will be televising the game.

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Chicago (+105) is entering this game as the underdog to Detroit (-115) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -200 for the White Sox +1.5 runs and +170 for the Tigers -1.5.

The Tigers are 67-61 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 53-76 straight up (SU). The team hasn’t moved the needle a lot for gamblers, losing 4.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.4 units (ATS). Detroit has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, have gone 49-79 SU this year and are 63-64 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 16.9 units for moneyline bettors and 7.1 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Tigers games have a 52-70-6 over/under record in 2018. Chicago has an over/under record of 62-59-6.

Lucas Giolito will get the start for the visiting White Sox. The right-handed Giolito (9-9, 6.08 ERA) has racked up 97 strikeouts in 137.2 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with 17 strikeouts and a 6.88 ERA against Detroit this year (three starts).

The Tigers will turn to Ryan Carpenter (1-1, 6.00 ERA), who has 10 punchouts and three walks to his credit as well as a 1.56 WHIP. Carpenter has yet to face the White Sox this year and did not accrue any MLB pitching stats in 2017.

As a unit, Detroit’s pitching staff has given up 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.41, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 4.55 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 56 games against AL Central opponents, Tigers starters have an ERA of 4.23 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.60.

The Detroit hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .269/.330/.383 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias have led the Tigers’ batters this year. Castellanos is slashing .294/.347/.496 with 19 home runs, 73 RBIs and 69 runs scored, and Iglesias is hitting .266 with five homers, 48 RBIs, 42 runs and 14 steals.

For the visiting squad, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.14 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 6.76 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.52, along with a K/9 of 9.74.

The White Sox offense has slashed .243/.304/.409 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Chicago’s hitters have been led by first baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez, who collectively have launched 29 home runs. Abreu is slashing .272/.331/.491 with 22 home runs, 78 RBIs and 67 runs scored, while Sanchez is slashing .246/.311/.383 with seven homers, 45 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

The Tigers have lost 9.7 units and are 47-48 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 35 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve gone under against righties.

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in only two of Chicago’s last seven games.

The White Sox have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit eight over their last 10.

Detroit has averaged 22.1 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 games and 21.6 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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