The Minnesota Twins are set to host their division rival Chicago White Sox at Target Field. WGN will televise the matchup and the game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Chicago (+195) is entering this game as the underdog to Minnesota (-215) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -110 for taking the White Sox +1.5 runs and -110 for the Twins -1.5.
The White Sox are 20-39 SU and have gone 30-28 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.1 units for moneyline bettors and 2.7 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 26-32 SU and 34-23 ATS. The team has lost 6.7 units for moneyline bettors while earning 9.3 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Neither side has established itself as a strong over/under play this year. Twins games have a 27-29-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Chicago has an over/under record of 26-28-4.
The right-handed James Shields is projected to start for Chicago. Shields is 1-6 with a 4.48 ERA and 51 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 4.05 ERA against Minnesota this year (three starts).
The Twins will send righty Jose Berrios (6-5, 3.86 ERA) to the mound. Berrios has 74 strikeouts and 14 walks to his name, as well as a 0.95 WHIP. Berrios is 2-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 2.77 ERA over two starts against Chicago this year.
As a unit, Minnesota’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.39 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.12 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 20 divisional games, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.43 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.35.
The Minnesota offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .255/.341/.460 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Twins’ batters have been led by left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Rosario is hitting .307/.344/.550 with 13 home runs, 40 RBIs, 37 runs and five steals, while Escobar is batting .282 with 11 homers, 36 RBIs and 30 runs.
For the visiting squad, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.43 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 6.07 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.16, along with a WHIP of 1.48 and a K-per-9 of 9.21.
The White Sox offense has slashed .245/.310/.413 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Chicago’s hitters have been led by first baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez. Abreu is hitting .300/.356/.526 with 10 home runs, 35 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Sanchez is slashing .281/.318/.421 with three homers, 27 RBIs, 24 runs and five stolen bases.
The White Sox have lost 12.7 units and are 22-22 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 4.9 units and are 25-18 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 22 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve cashed the under.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The White Sox have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 14 over their last 10.
Minnesota has posted 23.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.0 over its last five.
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