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Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay Rays Free Pick 08/04/18

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago White Sox will head south to take on the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. WGN is in line to broadcast this AL matchup. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET.

Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay Rays Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Tampa Bay (-165) as the favorite over Chicago (+155). Gamblers can bet on the game’s total with odds posted at +105 for over 7.5 runs and -125 for under 7.5. Runline odds stand at -140 for picking the White Sox +1.5 runs and +120 for the Rays -1.5.

The Rays are 56-53 straight up (SU) and 61-48 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 9.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.4 units (ATS). The White Sox have gone 38-70 SU this year and are 53-55 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 20.1 units for moneyline bettors and 8.8 units ATS.

Tampa Bay games have an over/under record of 48-58-3 in 2018. White Sox games have gone over 52 times, gone under 51 times and pushed on five occasions.

Carlos Rodon will get the start for the visiting White Sox. The left-handed Rodon (3-3, 3.24 ERA) has racked up 49 punchouts in 58.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Rays this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 2.25 ERA and four strikeouts over four innings).

The Rays will put the ball in the left hand of Blake Snell (12-5, 2.27 ERA, 1.07 WHIP), who has 134 strikeouts and 47 walks this season. Snell is 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.

Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.26 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 6.50 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.70, along with a K-per-9 of 9.50.

White Sox hitters have slashed .244/.306/.408 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez continue to lead Chicago’s hitters. Abreu is slashing .263/.325/.470 with 17 home runs, 60 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Sanchez (.248/.303/.388) is up to six homers, 43 RBIs, 37 runs and 10 stolen bases.

In the home-team dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.81, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.97 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.

The Tampa Bay offense is putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .284/.370/.488 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Matt Duffy and first baseman C.J. Cron have led the Rays’ batters this year. Duffy is hitting .306/.358/.391 with four home runs, 31 RBIs and 37 runs scored, and Cron’s line is .253/.323/.482 with 22 homers, 56 RBIs and 51 runs.

The White Sox have lost 10.0 units and are 11-15 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rays have netted 10.8 units and are 22-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to 21 that went under the total.

Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay Rays MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in five of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.

Tampa Bay has recorded 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.0 over its last five.

The White Sox have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 11 over their last 10.

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