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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Free Pick 09/20/18

David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago White Sox will be facing off against their divisional rival Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. The matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsTime Ohio to catch the action.

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Vegas has listed Chicago (+185) as the underdog to Cleveland (-200). The total is sitting at 9.5 runs and gamblers can wager on the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -120 for the White Sox +1.5 runs and +100 for the Indians -1.5.

The Indians are 85-66 straight up (SU) and 71-79 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 21.9 units for moneyline bettors and 18.5 units (ATS). The White Sox have gone 59-92 SU this year and are 77-73 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 15.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 1.9 units ATS.

Cleveland games have a 72-69-9 over/under record in 2018. The White Sox have an over/under record of 70-72-8.

The right-handed James Shields will get the nod for the visiting White Sox. Shields is 7-16 with a 4.53 ERA and 147 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with six strikeouts and a 1.93 ERA against Cleveland this year (two starts).

The Indians are sending righty Josh Tomlin (1-5, 6.49 ERA) to the mound. Tomlin has 37 strikeouts and 11 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.51. Tomlin is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against Chicago this year.

Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.93 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 6.78 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.48, along with a K-per-9 of 9.69.

The White Sox offense has slashed .242/.304/.407 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Chicago’s offensive production has been powered by third baseman Yolmer Sanchez and first baseman Jose Abreu. Sanchez is slashing .246/.314/.379 with eight home runs, 52 RBIs, 56 runs and 14 steals, while Abreu (.265/.325/.473) has produced 22 homers, 78 RBIs and 68 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.42, a WHIP of 1.14 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 4.56 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 68 games against divisional foes, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.67 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.19.

Cleveland’s offense is putting up 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .263/.363/.443 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley have led the Indians’ offense this year. Lindor is slashing .281/.354/.521 with 35 home runs, 86 RBIs, 121 runs and 23 stolen bases, while Brantley’s line is .304/.359/.467 with 16 homers, 73 RBIs and 82 runs scored.

The White Sox have lost 9.9 units and are 57-55 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 54 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 13.3 units and are 53-57 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 54 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under.

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in three of Chicago’s last seven games.

The Chicago defense has allowed eight errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Cleveland over its last 10.

Each team has hit 14 home runs over its last 10 games.

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Written by GMS Previews

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