The Chicago White Sox will be taking on their divisional rival Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. The game gets underway 4:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will be televising the action.
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Odds
Detroit (-135) is favored against Chicago (+125) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at White Sox +1.5 runs (-170) and Tigers -1.5 runs (+150).
The Tigers are 22-28 SU and 28-21 ATS. They’ve lost 0.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 3.0 units against the spread (ATS). The White Sox, on the other hand, are 15-33 SU and have gone 25-22 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 14.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 0.7 units ATS.
Detroit games have a 21-27-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Chicago has an over/under record of 22-23-2.
Left-hander Hector Santiago will get the nod for the visiting White Sox. Santiago is 0-2 with a 5.17 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Detroit this year (two starts).
The Tigers are handing the ball to lefty Francisco Liriano (3-1, 3.42 ERA), who’s got 37 strikeouts and 26 walks to his name, as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Liriano hasn’t faced the White Sox yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
As a unit, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.18 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.51 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 24 divisional games, Tigers starters have an ERA of 3.93 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.58.
Detroit’s offense is putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .235/.278/.343 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Tigers’ hitters have been led by outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is hitting .333/.380/.522 with five home runs, 27 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Iglesias has produced a line of .249/.301/.367 with 42 hits, 16 RBIs, 19 runs and seven stolen bases.
Castellanos did not perform very well against left-handed pitching at home last year, slashing .236/.288/.418 across 59 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .272/.320/.490).
For the visiting squad, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.65 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 6.12 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.28, along with a WHIP of 1.47.
White Sox hitters have slashed .246/.313/.410 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Chicago’s hitters have been powered by first baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez, who have combined to blast 10 home runs. Abreu is hitting .305/.367/.524 with eight home runs, 28 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Sanchez (.280/.319/.406) is up to two homers, 22 RBIs and 18 runs scored.
Maintaining a slash line of .342/.383/.685 across 81 such plate appearances, Abreu enjoyed batting against lefty pitching on the road last season (compared to his overall season slash line of .304/.354/.552).
The White Sox have lost 5.0 units and are 5-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to four that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have netted 2.1 units and are 8-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in eight of those games, as opposed to four that’ve cashed the under.
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in only two of Detroit’s last seven games.
Detroit has posted 17.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.2 over its last five.
The White Sox have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
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