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Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals Free Pick 04/27/18

Kansas City Royals
Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago White Sox will be taking on their divisional rival Kansas City Royals at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. The matchup will get going at 8:15 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will be showing the game.

Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals Odds

Kansas City (-115) is the favorite against Chicago (+105) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at nine runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -200 for the White Sox +1.5 runs and +170 for the Royals -1.5.

The Royals are just 5-18 SU and 9-13 ATS. The team has lost 10.6 units for moneyline bettors and 8.8 units against the spread (ATS). The White Sox have gone 6-16 SU this year and are 9-12 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 10.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early part of the year and 5.0 units ATS.

Kansas City games have an over/under record of 8-13-1 so far in 2018. Chicago has an over/under record of 11-9-1.

The right-handed Reynaldo Lopez is the projected starter for Chicago. Lopez is 0-2 with a 1.50 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He has yet to face Kansas City this year, but he made three starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 2-0 record with a 3.44 ERA and seven strikeouts.

The Royals are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Danny Duffy (0-3, 5.26 ERA), who has 25 strikeouts and 13 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.52. Duffy is 0-1 with five strikeouts and an 11.25 ERA over one starts against Chicago this year.

Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 6.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.96 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 5.56 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.17, along with a K-per-9 of 9.83.

White Sox hitters have slashed .237/.313/.408 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Chicago’s hitters have been led by Yoan Moncada and Matt Davidson, who have combined to launch 13 home runs. Moncada is slashing .264/.360/.563 with six home runs, 12 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Davidson (.225/.353/.563) has produced seven homers, 15 RBIs and 13 runs scored.

Moncada didn’t do as well hitting against left-handed pitchers on the road last year, maintaining a slash line of .237/.275/.316 across 40 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .231/.338/.412).

For the home team, Kansas City’s pitching staff has given up 5.6 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.34, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.8. The bullpen has a 6.81 ERA, 1.67 WHIP and 6.7 K/9. In 12 games against AL Central opponents, Royals starters have an ERA of 4.25 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.06.

Kansas City’s offense is putting up 3.3 runs per outing, including 3.0 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .246/.317/.404 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Royals’ hitters have been led by third baseman Mike Moustakas and right fielder Jorge Soler. Moustakas is slashing .309/.337/.608 with seven home runs, 18 RBIs and 14 runs scored, and Soler’s line is .279/.416/.443 with 17 hits, four RBIs and six runs scored.

Soler performed well at home last year, slashing .213/.302/.404 over 53 plate appearances (his overall season line was .144/.245/.258).

The White Sox have lost 3.9 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to two that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 10.2 units and are 5-8 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in four of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under.

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Royals, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in four of Chicago’s last seven games.

The Royals have lost four of their last five games SU.

Chicago has posted 20.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 23.2 over its last five.

The White Sox have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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