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Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Free Pick 09/29/18

Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago White Sox are ready to face their divisional rival Minnesota Twins at Target Field. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will broadcast the matchup.

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins Odds

Vegas is listing Minnesota (-135) as the favorite over Chicago (+125). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds listed at -110 for over 8.5 runs and -110 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at White Sox +1.5 runs (-170) and Twins -1.5 runs (+150).

The Twins are 83-75 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 76-84 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 10.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 5.0 units (ATS). Minnesota has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The White Sox are 62-98 SU and have gone 80-78 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 14.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.5 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Minnesota games have an over/under record of 78-77-3 in 2018. White Sox games have gone under 76 times, gone over 73 times and pushed on nine occasions.

Left-hander Carlos Rodon will get the start for Chicago. Rodon (6-7, 3.61 ERA) has racked up 88 punchouts in 119.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Minnesota this year.

The Twins will turn to righty Kyle Gibson (9-13, 3.68 ERA), who has 172 strikeouts and 76 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.31. Gibson is 0-2 with 20 strikeouts and a 5.89 ERA across three starts against Chicago this year.

Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.97 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 6.86 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.58, along with a K-per-9 of 9.63.

White Sox hitters have slashed .242/.303/.403 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Chicago’s offensive production has been led by third baseman Yolmer Sanchez and shortstop Tim Anderson. Sanchez is slashing .245/.309/.377 with eight home runs, 54 RBIs, 61 runs and 14 stolen bases. Anderson (.240/.282/.406) is up to 20 homers, 64 RBIs, 77 runs and 26 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have yielded 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.56, a WHIP of 1.39 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.48 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 74 games against divisional opponents, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.66 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.23.

Minnesota’s hitters have put up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 7.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .312/.402/.451 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Left fielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer have led the charge for the Twins’ batters this year. Rosario is hitting .288/.323/.479 with 24 home runs, 77 RBIs and 87 runs scored, while Mauer’s line is .280/.349/.377 with six homers, 47 RBIs and 62 runs.

The White Sox have lost 10.0 units and are 59-59 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 55 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 5.2 units and are 23-22 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 23 that went under the total.

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Chicago has logged seven extra-base hits over its last five games. Minnesota has 17 XBH over its last five.

The White Sox have dropped six of their last seven games SU.

Chicago has recorded 18.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 14.8 over its last five.

The White Sox have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit six over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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