The Chicago White Sox are set to face off against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field in Game 1 of their AL Central doubleheader. NBC Sports Chicago is in line to showcase the matchup. The first pitch will be at 4:10 p.m. ET.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
The Twins are 25-30 SU and 33-22 ATS. They’ve lost 5.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 9.1 units against the spread (ATS). Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The White Sox are 18-38 SU and have gone 29-27 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 16.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.3 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.
Neither team has been a strong over/under bet this year. Minnesota games have an over/under record of 27-27-1 so far in 2018. White Sox games have gone over 26 times, gone under 26 times and pushed on four occasions.
Reynaldo Lopez will get the nod for the visiting White Sox. The right-handed Lopez is 1-4 with a 3.80 ERA and 44 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA against Minnesota this year.
The Twins are sending Zack Littell (0-0, ERA) to the mound. Littell has zero strikeouts and zero walks to his name, as well as a WHIP. Littell hasn’t faced the White Sox yet this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.
Minnesota’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.26, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 4.29 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 17 games against divisional foes, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.06 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.54.
The Minnesota offense has put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .293/.366/.592 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Twins’ hitters have been led by outfielder Eddie Rosario and second baseman Brian Dozier. Rosario is slashing .317/.352/.573 with 13 home runs, 40 RBIs, 36 runs and five stolen bases, and Dozier is batting .246 with nine homers, 25 RBIs and 36 runs scored.
Rosario performed well against righty pitching at home last season, slashing .351/.402/.733 across 209 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .290/.328/.507).
For the visitors, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.64 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 6.23 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.10, along with a WHIP of 1.50 and a K/9 of 9.04.
The White Sox offense has slashed .245/.311/.415 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez continue to lead Chicago’s hitters. Abreu is slashing .300/.358/.521 with nine home runs, 32 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Sanchez (.279/.315/.418) has produced three homers, 25 RBIs, 22 runs and five stolen bases.
The Twins have lost 4.2 units and are 24-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 22 of those games, as opposed to 18 that’ve gone under against righty starters.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The White Sox have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 14 over their last 10.
Chicago has posted 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.6 over its last five.
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