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Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Free Preview 07/21/18

Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago White Sox will be squaring off against the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. NBC Sports Chicago is in line to broadcast this AL showdown and the game gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners Odds

Vegas has listed Seattle (-220) as the favorite over Chicago (+200). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds listed at -105 for over 9 runs and -115 for under 9. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -110 for picking the White Sox +1.5 runs and -110 for the Mariners -1.5 runs.

The White Sox have gone just 33-63 SU this year and are 48-47 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 19.0 units for moneyline bettors and 5.0 units ATS. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 59-39 SU and 49-48 ATS. They’ve gained 15.8 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 2.2 units ATS.

Neither team has positioned itself as an obvious over/under bet this season. Mariners games have had an over/under record of 47-48-2 so far in 2018. The White Sox have an over/under record of 44-46-5.

Dylan Covey will get the nod for Chicago. The right-handed Covey (3-5, 5.69 ERA) has racked up 43 strikeouts in 55.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 6.00 ERA over six innings).

The Mariners are putting the ball in the right hand of Felix Hernandez (8-7, 5.13 ERA, 1.37 WHIP), who’s got 87 strikeouts and 36 walks. Hernandez is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.

Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.16 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 6.46 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.48, along with a WHIP of 1.45.

White Sox hitters have slashed .243/.304/.401 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez continue to lead Chicago’s hitters. Abreu is hitting .251/.308/.436 with 13 home runs, 52 RBIs and 44 runs scored. Sanchez (.259/.309/.406) has produced five homers, 42 RBIs, 33 runs and nine stolen bases.

For the home team, Seattle’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.96 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

The Seattle hitters have produced 4.2 runs per outing, including 3.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .263/.309/.329 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon have led the Mariners’ batters this year. Segura is slashing .323/.353/.459 with seven home runs, 47 RBIs, 67 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Gordon’s line is .290/.309/.353 with 106 hits, 22 RBIs, 45 runs and 22 stolen bases.

The White Sox have lost 14.4 units and are 37-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 34 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 19.6 units and are 33-33 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 35 of those games, compared to 30 that went under the total.

Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in three of Chicago’s last seven games.

Chicago has recorded 18.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.8 over its last five.

The White Sox have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit five over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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