In a game that could be a shootout, Homer Bailey (2-2, 5.73 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (55-73) are in Arizona to square off against Archie Bradley (4-8, 5.06 ERA) and the Diamondbacks (54-76). This is the last of a three-game series at Chase Field. The Reds won the last game 13-0, and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 28 and can be seen on FSAZ and FSOH.
Bradley pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out seven and walking three in a 7-4 defeat to the Braves. Bailey went 2.1 innings, surrendering six runs and walking one in an 18-9 defeat to the Dodgers in his most recent start. Joey Votto (.311, 82 Rs, 21 HRs, 76 RBIs, 8 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Reds, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
Arizona is a slim -110 favorite at home against Cincinnati. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of nine runs. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of -2,046 and a record as the favorite of 28-27. The Diamondbacks have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the NL in offense with 4.6 runs per game. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 104 bases.
In the other locker room, Cincinnati is coming in with an overall money line of -484 and a disappointing record of 36-67 as the underdog. The Reds are an excellent base stealing team with 112 stolen bases, ranking second in the MLB.
The Reds lead the season series, 3-2. The Diamondbacks have a 36-59 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Bailey takes the mound. Bradley (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 44-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – ARI, O/U – Over
Notes
Cincinnati earned its sixth shutout of the season in its last game. Arizona has been shut out six times this season.
The Diamondbacks didn’t score any runs in their last game. The Reds have a 6-0 record when they don’t allow any runs.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 9-56. The Diamondbacks have a 9-55 record when opponents outhit them.
Cincinnati ranks near the bottom of the league at 21st when it comes to home runs, hitting 139 this season. Arizona ranks in the bottom half with 146.
Ranking 11th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.40 per game. Arizona ranks in the top five at third with 9.22.
Ranking 24th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.723). Arizona ranks in the top half at 11th with an OPS of .753.
The Reds are 37-61 when they allow at least one home run. The Diamondbacks perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 28-62 record.
