The Atlanta Braves are set to host the Cincinnati Reds at SunTrust Park. Fox Sports Ohio will televise this NL matchup and the action gets underway at 7:35 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves Odds
Atlanta (-140) is hosting this one as the favorite over Cincinnati (+130) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -170 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +150 for the Braves -1.5 runs.
The Reds have gone 32-46 SU this year and are 44-33 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 0.8 units ATS. Cincinnati’s covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 45-32 SU and 42-33 ATS. They’ve gained 15.6 units for moneyline bettors and 8.7 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.
Neither squad has been an obvious over/under play this year. Braves games have an over/under record of 37-35-3 thus far in 2018. Cincinnati has an over/under record of 37-38-2.
Matt Harvey will get the start for Cincinnati. The right-handed Harvey (2-5, 5.66 ERA) has recorded 52 strikeouts in 68.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 12.38 ERA against Atlanta this year.
The Braves are putting the ball in the right hand of Anibal Sanchez (3-1, 2.55 ERA, 1.06 WHIP), who’s got 39 punchouts and 15 walks. Sanchez has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
As a unit, Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.43, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.02 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
Atlanta’s hitters are putting up 5.0 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .275/.353/.420 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Braves’ hitters have been led by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is slashing .330/.395/.490 with eight home runs, 49 RBIs and 45 runs scored, and Freeman is batting .322 with 15 homers, 53 RBIs and 49 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.35 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.36 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.95, along with a WHIP of 1.47 and a K/9 of 8.06.
The Reds offense has slashed .255/.337/.399 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Cincinnati’s hitters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto. Gennett is hitting .331/.367/.528 with 13 home runs, 51 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Votto is hitting .307/.438/.467 with eight homers, 42 RBIs and 42 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 8.8 units and are 31-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 11.8 units and are 30-20 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 25 that went under the total.
Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in only two of Atlanta’s last seven games.
The Reds have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 10 over their last 10.
Cincinnati fielders have committed three errors over their last five games, compared to zero errors for Atlanta over its last five.
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