The Miami Marlins will play host to the Cincinnati Reds at Marlins Park. This NL showdown will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will be airing the game.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (-110) is favored over Cincinnati (+100) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -210 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +175 for the Marlins -1.5.
The Marlins are 78-74 against the spread (ATS), but only 60-93 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 4.9 units for moneyline bettors and 12.2 units (ATS). Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Reds are 66-89 SU and have gone 88-66 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 7.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have gained 7.9 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in all seven of them.
Miami games have an over/under record of 76-71-5 in 2018. The Reds have an over/under record of 76-73-5.
Right-hander Anthony DeSclafani will get the nod for the visiting Reds. DeSclafani is 7-6 with a 4.92 ERA and 92 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Marlins are handing the ball to righty Jose Urena (7-12, 4.21 ERA), who has 126 strikeouts and 46 walks to his name, as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Urena only made one start against the Reds in 2017 (1-0, 1.50 ERA and four strikeouts across six innings).
As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.41, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 5.38 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.
Miami’s hitters have produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .233/.306/.350 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Marlins’ batters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .282/.332/.406 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs and 75 runs scored, while Anderson is batting .268 with 10 homers, 59 RBIs and 82 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.03 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.80 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.18, along with a WHIP of 1.42 and a K-per-9 of 7.94.
The Reds offense has slashed .256/.332/.404 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 1.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Cincinnati’s offensive production has been sparked by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza, who’ve collectively belted 36 home runs. Gennett is slashing .316/.365/.499 with 23 home runs, 92 RBIs and 85 runs scored. Peraza (.290/.328/.419) is up to 13 homers, 56 RBIs, 84 runs and 23 stolen bases.
The Reds have lost 12.2 units and are 59-49 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 53 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Marlins have netted 1.3 units and are 57-58 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 57 of those games, as opposed to 53 which went under the total.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in zero of Cincinnati’s last seven contests.
The Reds have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit seven over their last 10.
Cincinnati has recorded 14.3 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 13.4 over its last five.
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