The Cincinnati Reds are ready to face their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. The action will get going at 2:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin.
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-225) is favored over Cincinnati (+205) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 9 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -105 for picking the Reds +1.5 runs and -115 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 70-58 straight up (SU) and 65-62 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 10.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 2.3 units (ATS). The Reds are 56-70 SU and have gone 71-54 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 4.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have gained 4.5 units ATS.
Milwaukee games have a 59-64-4 over/under record in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent over bet with a total record of 65-56-4.
The right-handed Robert Stephenson will get the nod for the visiting Reds. Stephenson (0-1, 7.94 ERA) has racked up six punchouts in 5.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 4.63 ERA and 15 strikeouts over 11.2 innings).
The Brewers are putting the ball in the hands of Freddy Peralta (5-4, 4.48 ERA), who’s got 79 punchouts and 36 walks, as well as a 1.17 WHIP. Peralta is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.97, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.77 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 51 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.65 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.36.
The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.2 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .262/.333/.417 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .308/.371/.519 with 20 home runs, 62 RBIs, 86 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Cain’s line is .303/.396/.422 with nine homers, 31 RBIs, 65 runs and 24 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.16 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.54 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.14, along with a K/9 of 7.84.
The Reds offense has slashed .259/.337/.407 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Cincinnati’s hitters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is slashing .313/.360/.497 with 19 home runs, 75 RBIs and 74 runs scored, while Peraza is hitting .290/.333/.409 with eight homers, 42 RBIs, 67 runs and 18 stolen bases.
The Brewers have gained 14.6 units and are 51-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 52 that’ve hit the under against righty starters.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in three of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
The Reds have won four of their last five games SU.
Milwaukee has recorded 23.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.2 over its last five.
The Reds have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
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