The Cincinnati Reds will head west to Target Field to play the Minnesota Twins. Fox Sports North will televise this interleague showdown. The opening pitch will be at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Cincinnati (+100) is hosting this game as the underdog to Minnesota (-110) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Runline odds stand at -210 for taking the Reds +1.5 runs and +175 for the Twins -1.5.
The Twins are 8-12 SU and 11-8 ATS. They’ve lost 2.5 units for moneyline bettors while earning 0.1 units against the spread (ATS). Minnesota has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Reds are 5-20 SU and have gone 11-13 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 13.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early portions of the season and 6.4 units ATS. Cincinnati’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Twins games have had an over/under record of 10-9 so far in 2018. The Reds have an over/under record of 10-14.
Right-hander Luis Castillo is the probable starter for the visiting Reds. Castillo is 1-3 with a 6.51 ERA and 24 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Twins will put the ball in the right hand of Phil Hughes (0-0, 5.40 ERA, 2.10 WHIP), who has two strikeouts and two walks. Hughes did not record a start against the Reds in 2017.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.6 runs per game and its starters own a 5.44 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.30 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.40, along with a WHIP of 1.45 and a K-per-9 of 8.10.
Reds hitters have slashed .229/.311/.332 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Cincinnati’s hitters have been led by outfielder Jesse Winker and first baseman Joey Votto. Winker is hitting .323/.449/.387 with 20 hits, seven RBIs and seven runs scored, while Votto has a .256 average with 23 hits, three homers, 13 RBIs and six runs scored.
Winker performed well against right-handed pitching on the road in 2017. Over 58 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .358/.414/.679 (his overall season line was .298/.375/.529).
For the home team, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.76 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.
The Minnesota offense has put up 4.0 runs per contest, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .224/.316/.341 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that span.
The Twins’ hitters have been led by outfielder Max Kepler and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Kepler is slashing .290/.364/.551 with 20 hits, eight RBIs and eight runs scored, and Escobar’s line sits at .303/.351/.561 with three homers, 11 RBIs and nine runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .243/.312/.425, Kepler performed well against righty pitching at home last season, slashing .297/.367/.528 over 218 such plate appearances.
The Reds have lost 12.6 units and are 9-12 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 3.0 units and are 9-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to seven which went under the total.
Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Twins have lost eight of their last nine games SU.
Minnesota has posted 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.6 over its last five.
The Reds have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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