The Cincinnati Reds are set to play the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. This NL matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio will showcase the game.
Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (-120) is the favorite against Cincinnati (+110) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -125 for the over and +105 for the under. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -190 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +165 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.
The Reds are only 2-8 SU and have gone 4-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.7 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 2.4 units ATS. The Phillies are 5-5 SU and 2-7 ATS. They’ve lost 2.0 units for moneyline bettors and 6.9 units ATS.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 5-3-1 so far in 2018. Reds games have gone over five times, gone under four times and pushed on zero instances.
The Reds have lost 2.7 units and are 3-4 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in four of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 5.0 units and are 0-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in three of those games, as opposed to two which went under the total.
Luis Castillo (0-2, 9.00 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Reds. The right-handed Castillo recorded 98 strikeouts across 89 innings last year with only 32 walks while finishing the season 3-7 overall with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP.
The Phils will be turning to righty Nick Pivetta (1-0, 2.79 ERA), who recorded 140 strikeouts over 133 innings last year (with 57 walks), while finishing the season 8-10 overall with a 6.02 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitchers have yielded 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.63, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 4.66 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.
Philadelphia’s offense has put up 5.4 runs per contest, including 8.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .276/.376/.521 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Outfielder Rhys Hoskins and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the Phillies’ batters this year. Hoskins is slashing .375/.500/.719 with 12 hits, nine RBIs and seven runs scored, and Hernandez’s line is .306/.432/.444 with 11 hits, two RBIs and seven runs.
For the visiting squad, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.44 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 6.49 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 6.95, along with a K-per-9 of 7.75.
Reds hitters have slashed .229/.313/.330 on their way to 3.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and catcher Tucker Barnhart have led Cincinnati’s offense. Suarez is slashing .296/.424/.630 with eight hits, seven RBIs and five runs scored, while Barnhart is hitting .269/.387/.462 with seven hits, two RBIs and three runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .260/.367/.461, Suarez did not seem to enjoy batting against righties on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .233/.340/.300 across 250 such plate appearances.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Phillies went 2-4 SU against the Reds last season.
The Reds have lost five of their last six games SU while the Phillies have won four of their last five SU.
The Phillies’ bullpen recorded an ERA of 2.84 against the Reds last year.
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