The Cincinnati Reds will make a road trip to PNC Park to face their division rival Pittsburgh Pirates. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on ATPT and FSOH.
Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Cincinnati (+135) is hosting this game as the underdog to Pittsburgh (-145) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -160 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +140 for the Pirates -1.5.
The Reds are just 25-43 SU and are 36-32 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.0 units for moneyline bettors and 6.2 units ATS. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 33-35 SU and 30-38 ATS. They’ve lost 3.8 units for moneyline bettors and 11.6 units ATS.
Pirates games have a 33-29-6 over/under record so far in 2018. The Reds have an over/under record of 32-34-2.
The right-handed Matt Harvey will get the nod for the visiting Reds. Harvey is 1-4 with a 5.97 ERA and 44 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.
The Pirates will turn to righty Chad Kuhl (4-4, 3.95 ERA), who has 69 strikeouts and 27 walks to his credit as well as a 1.36 WHIP. Kuhl is 0-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 2.45 ERA across two starts against Cincinnati this year.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.58 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 7.34 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.93, along with a WHIP of 1.51 and a K-per-9 of 8.16.
The Reds offense has slashed .251/.331/.387 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 3.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto continue to lead Cincinnati’s offense. Gennett is hitting .341/.378/.550 with 12 home runs, 47 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Votto is hitting .304 with six homers, 30 RBIs and 34 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has yielded 4.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.64 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 29 games against NL Central opponents, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.30 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.76.
Pittsburgh’s hitters have produced 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .220/.319/.378 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte have paced the Pirates’ batters this year. Dickerson is hitting .310/.343/.464 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Marte’s line is .286/.343/.477 with eight homers, 30 RBIs, 35 runs and 13 steals.
The Reds have lost 11.8 units and are 26-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 0.5 units and are 25-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 22 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in four of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
Cincinnati fielders have committed three errors over their last five games, compared to six errors for Pittsburgh over its last five.
The Reds have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit five over their last 10.
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