Zach Davies (9-4, 3.58 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (51-63) meet Dan Straily (7-6, 3.76 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (47-67) in the second of a three-game division series at Miller Park. The Reds won the last game 7-4, and Cincinnati leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 13 and will air on FSWI and FSOH.
In his most recent outing, Davies pitched 7.0 innings, giving up three runs and striking out three in a 4-3 loss to the Braves. The Reds were victorious the last time Straily pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 6.0 innings, allowing two runs and striking out four in a 7-3 victory over the Pirates. Adam Duvall (.245, 63 Rs, 27 HRs, 75 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been doing well, going 3 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and one RBI.
Milwaukee, a -123 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Cincinnati. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is eight runs. The Brewers are 18-15 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -438. They have a SU record of 16-23 against teams in their division and a 3-3 record when they were the favorite in those games. They have been a terror on the base paths, leading all of baseball with 123 steals.
Moving on to the away team, the Reds come into this game with a weak win percentage of .330 when playing as the underdog (30-61) and an overall money line of -869. Against fellow NL Central members, they are 18-28 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 15-26 record. The Reds have racked up 106 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. The last 10 games have really brought the best out of the Cincinnati pitchers. They’ve allowed 3.5 runs per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 5.5.
The Reds have mostly come out on top against the Brewers in their previous 11 games this season, earning a 6-5 record. This game will feature Straily (RHP) on the mound against the Brewers, who have a 30-48 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Davies will take the mound against the Reds, who have a 38-50 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIL, O/U – Over
Notes
For the 23rd time this season, the Brewers registered at least two errors in a game.
The Reds are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Brewers have an 11-26 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 35-10. The Brewers have a 42-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 469 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 497.
Ranking 25th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 316 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top five at third with 433.
When the Brewers hit at least one home run, they are 40-30. When the Reds hit at least one homer, they have a 35-37 record.
