The Cincinnati Reds are ready to square off against the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. The game gets underway 10:15 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio is in line to broadcast this NL matchup.
Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants Odds
Cincinnati (+110) is the underdog against San Francisco (-120) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs (-105 for the under and -115 for the over). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -190 for betting the Reds +1.5 runs and +165 for the Giants -1.5.
The Reds have gone just 14-28 SU this year and are 23-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.8 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, despite having gained 0.3 units ATS. The Giants, on the other hand, are 21-21 SU and 25-16 ATS. They’ve gained 3.4 units for moneyline bettors and 5.5 units ATS.
San Francisco games have had an over/under record of 21-20 so far in 2018. Reds games have gone under 23 times, gone over 18 times and pushed on zero occasions.
Tyler Mahle is getting the nod for Cincinnati. The right-handed Mahle is 3-4 with a 3.86 ERA and 44 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Giants are going with lefty Ty Blach (3-4, 4.20 ERA), who has 25 punchouts and 16 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.42. Blach made two starts against the Reds in 2017, putting together a 0-1 record with a 9.00 ERA.
San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.43 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.33 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.
San Francisco’s hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .282/.340/.492 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Giants’ offense has been led by first baseman Brandon Belt and right fielder Andrew McCutchen. Belt is slashing .297/.402/.529 with seven home runs, 21 RBIs and 22 runs scored, and McCutchen’s line is .259/.374/.406 with three homers, 15 RBIs and 25 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.28 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.11 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.24, along with a K/9 of 9.04.
Reds hitters have slashed .247/.327/.386 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
First baseman Joey Votto and second baseman Scooter Gennett have led Cincinnati’s hitters. Votto is slashing .291/.414/.446 with six home runs, 23 RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Gennett (.318/.356/.503) is up to six homers, 24 RBIs and 19 runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .295/.342/.531, Gennett appeared to take a step back when hitting lefties on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .208/.269/.333 across 78 such plate appearances.
The Reds have lost 1.8 units and are 6-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Giants have lost 3.8 units and are 12-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in nine of those games, as opposed to 14 which went under the total.
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in four of San Francisco’s last seven games.
San Francisco has posted 24.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.4 over its last five.
The Reds have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
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