The Cincinnati Reds will be taking on the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona is in line to televise this NL showdown and the action gets going at 9:40 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Arizona (-130) is favored over Cincinnati (+120) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -175 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +155 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.
The Reds are just 19-36 SU and are 29-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.0 units ATS. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 27-26 SU and 23-29 ATS. The team’s gained 1.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 7.7 units ATS.
Diamondbacks games have had an over/under record of 22-28-2 so far in 2018. The Reds have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 22-30-2.
Right-hander Luis Castillo is the projected starter for the visiting Reds. Castillo is 4-4 with a 5.34 ERA and 55 strikeouts. He has yet to face Arizona this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record with a 2.84 ERA and 15 strikeouts.
The Diamondbacks are putting the ball in the right hand of Zack Godley (4-4, 4.53 ERA), who has 52 punchouts and 29 walks this season as well as a 1.56 WHIP. Godley did not record a start against the Reds in 2017.
Arizona’s pitching staff has allowed 3.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.50, a WHIP of 1.07 and a K/9 of 8.0.
Arizona’s offense has put up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .195/.258/.366 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders David Peralta and A.J. Pollock have led the way for the Diamondbacks’ offense this year. Peralta is hitting .262/.333/.426 with seven home runs, 21 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Pollock’s line is .293/.349/.620 with 11 homers, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and nine stolen bases.
For the visiting squad, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.71 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 7.24 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.11, along with a K-per-9 of 8.64.
Reds hitters have slashed .245/.323/.379 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto continue to lead Cincinnati’s hitters. Gennett is hitting .347/.381/.559 with 10 home runs, 37 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Votto is hitting .283/.403/.424 with six homers, 24 RBIs and 27 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 9.8 units and are 21-18 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 15 of those games, as opposed to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 6.3 units and are 12-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve gone under.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – UNDER
Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in six of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
The Reds have lost three of their last four games SU.
Cincinnati has recorded 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.2 over its last five.
The Reds have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
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