in , ,

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Free Pick 07/07/18

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds will face their divisional rival Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. The game gets underway 2:20 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will broadcast the matchup.

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs Odds

The Cubs are 49-36 straight up (SU) and 44-40 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.3 units (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. The Reds are 39-49 SU and have gone 51-36 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 5.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have gained 5.0 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Chicago games have had an over/under record of 37-46-1 thus far in 2018. The Reds have an over/under record of 43-40-4.

Matt Harvey will get the start for Cincinnati. The right-handed Harvey is 4-5 with a 4.91 ERA and 60 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Chicago this year.

The Cubs will turn to righty Tyler Chatwood (3-5, 4.54 ERA), who has 70 strikeouts and 66 walks as well as a 1.75 WHIP. Chatwood is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.

Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.83, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 3.15, a WHIP of 1.29 and a K/9 of 9.0. In 38 games against divisional foes, Cubs starters have an ERA of 2.92 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.71.

Chicago’s hitters have produced 5.1 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .349/.434/.529 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Cubs’ batters have been led by second baseman Javier Baez and left fielder Albert Almora Jr.. Baez is hitting .285/.320/.551 with 16 home runs, 61 RBIs, 55 runs and 15 stolen bases, and Almora Jr.’s line sits at .328/.369/.458 with four homers, 28 RBIs and 46 runs.

For the visiting squad, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.14 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.54 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.90, along with a WHIP of 1.43 and a K-per-9 of 8.13.

Reds hitters have slashed .257/.339/.400 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza continue to lead Cincinnati’s offense. Gennett is slashing .328/.369/.522 with 14 home runs, 58 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Peraza (.277/.323/.381) is up to five homers, 29 RBIs, 49 runs and 15 stolen bases.

The Reds have lost 8.8 units and are 37-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 28 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 6.2 units and are 33-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 28 of those games, compared to 36 which went under the total.

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in only one of Cincinnati’s last seven games.

The Reds have won five of their last six games SU.

Chicago has posted 31.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 31.4 over its last five.

The Reds have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 14 over their last 10.

xxxxx

Written by GMS Previews

Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Indians Free Preview 07/07/18

Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers Free Preview 07/07/18