The Chicago Cubs will go for their fourth win in a row when they play host to the Cincinnati Reds at Wrigley Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on WLS and FSOH.
Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs Odds
The Reds are 56-73 SU and are 72-56 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.3 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 3.3 units ATS. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 74-53 SU and 63-63 ATS. The team has gained 0.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.0 unit ATS.
Chicago games have an over/under record of 55-68-3 in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent over bet with a total record of 66-58-4.
Right-hander Luis Castillo is projected to start for Cincinnati. Castillo is 7-10 with a 4.86 ERA and 129 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 4.30 ERA against Chicago this year (three starts).
The Cubs are putting the ball in the left hand of Jose Quintana (10-9, 4.36 ERA, 1.37 WHIP), who has 114 strikeouts and 57 walks this season. Quintana is 1-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA over two starts against Cincinnati this year.
As a unit, Chicago’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 4.04 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.18, a WHIP of 1.28 and a K/9 of 8.8. In 58 games against divisional foes, Cubs starters have an ERA of 3.55 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.47.
The Chicago hitters have put up 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .263/.338/.457 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Cubs’ batters have been led by Javier Baez, who is slashing .295/.327/.573 with 27 home runs, 94 RBIs, 78 runs and 21 stolen bases.
For the visitors, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.16 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.14, along with a K-per-9 of 7.84.
The Reds offense has slashed .257/.335/.403 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Scooter Gennett has provided a spark to the Cincinnati offense. Gennett is slashing .310/.358/.489 with 19 home runs, 75 RBIs and 74 runs scored.
The Cubs are looking for another win following a 3-2 victory in the prior game of this series.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in six of Chicago’s last seven games.
The Reds have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 14 over their last 10.
Chicago has posted 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.4 over its last five.
The Reds have dropped four of their last five games SU.
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