The Cleveland Indians will play host to their cross-state rival Cincinnati Reds at Progressive Field. This interleague matchup will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will televise the game.
Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Indians Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Cincinnati (+150) as the underdog to Cleveland (-160). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over 9.5 runs and -115 for under 9.5. Runline odds sit at -145 for picking the Reds +1.5 runs and +125 for the Indians -1.5.
The Reds have gone 39-51 SU this year and are 53-36 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having gained 7.0 units ATS. Cincinnati’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 49-39 SU and 42-45 ATS. They’ve lost 7.3 units for moneyline bettors and 7.6 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Indians games have a 45-39-3 over/under record so far in 2018. The Reds have an over/under record of 44-41-4.
The right-handed Anthony DeSclafani is projected to start for Cincinnati. DeSclafani is 3-1 with a 5.08 ERA and 29 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Indians are putting the ball in the hands of righty Mike Clevinger (7-3, 3.11 ERA), who’s got 99 punchouts and 36 walks, as well as a 1.21 WHIP. Clevinger did not record a start against the Reds in 2017.
As a unit, Cleveland’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 3.42, a WHIP of 1.14 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 5.12 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.
Cleveland’s offense has produced 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .232/.317/.304 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Indians’ batters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez. Lindor is hitting .298/.374/.565 with 23 home runs, 56 RBIs, 79 runs and 12 stolen bases, while Ramirez is hitting .292 with 24 homers, 59 RBIs, 60 runs and 19 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.13 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.52 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.00, along with a K/9 of 8.21.
Reds hitters have slashed .257/.339/.401 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 6.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Cincinnati’s offense has been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is slashing .326/.368/.515 with 14 home runs, 58 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Peraza (.277/.326/.379) is up to five homers, 30 RBIs, 49 runs and 17 stolen bases.
The Reds have lost 9.8 units and are 38-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, as opposed to 33 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 13.0 units and are 28-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve cashed the under.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Indians MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in five of Cincinnati’s last seven contests.
The Reds have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit nine over their last 10.
Cincinnati has recorded 24.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.4 over its last five.
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