In the second of a three-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (31-35) and the Miami Marlins (31-35) at the Great American Ball Park, Jon Moscot (1-1, 4.63 ERA) and Tom Koehler (5-4, 3.76 ERA) take the mound. The Reds won the last game 5-0 and Cincinnati leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 20 and will air on FSN-FL and FSN-OH.
In his most recent outing, Moscot pitched 0.2 inning, giving up zero runs and striking out one in a 6-0 loss to the Tigers. Todd Frazier (.297, 49 Rs, 22 HRs, 46 RBIs, 8 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. In his pitching opportunities against the Reds, Koehler is 0-1 with a 0.00 ERA, six strikeouts and two walks. Dee Gordon (.355, 36 Rs, 17 RBIs, 22 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Cincinnati is a -120 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at nine runs. The Reds are in an interesting position this season. While they have a notable winning record in games where they’re the favorite (18-10), their overall money line (-603) is less impressive. They are 6-4 SU and perfect as the favorite (4-0) in their last 10 games. The Reds come into the game with the NL’s third-ranked home scoring offense, averaging 4.7 runs per game in their own ballpark. They have been a terror on the base paths, leading all of baseball with 67 steals.
Switching gears, the Marlins come into this game with a weak win percentage of .400 when playing as the underdog (14-21) and an overall money line of -1,168. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 5-5 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-4 record.
So far this season, the Reds are 1-0 against the Marlins. This game will feature Koehler (RHP) on the mound against the Reds, who have a 21-26 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Moscot will take the mound against the Marlins, who have a 21-32 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – CIN, O/U – Over
Notes
Miami has won 37% (13-22) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Cincinnati has won 43% (12-16) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Reds are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded nine strikeouts. The Marlins have a record of 8-17 when they are struck out that many times or more.
It looks like the Reds have a slight leg up on the Marlins, as the Reds have won their last three games while the Marlins have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 22-11. The Reds have a 23-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 22nd in runs, Miami has earned 264 this season. Cincinnati ranks 17th with 270 runs.
Ranking 24th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 162 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 210.
When the Reds hit at least one home run, they are 27-18. When the Marlins hit at least one homer, they have a 19-22 record.
