Anthony DeSclafani (5-4, 3.36 ERA) and Dan Haren (6-3, 3.22 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (30-35) and the Miami Marlins (29-39) at the Great American Ball Park. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 19 and can be seen on FSN-FL and FSN-OH.
DeSclafani pitched 6.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run, striking out five and walking two in a 2-1 defeat to the Cubs. Todd Frazier (.294, 48 Rs, 22 HRs, 46 RBIs, 8 SBs) continued his strong play Wednesday, going 2 for 6 with two runs, two home runs, and five RBIs. Against the Reds, Haren is 4-3 with a 4.78 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 41 strikeouts. Giancarlo Stanton (.265, 44 Rs, 25 HRs, 63 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Marlins, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Cincinnati is a narrow -115 favorite at home against Miami. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently eight runs. Though the Reds have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-603), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 18-10. Cincinnati is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 6-4 SU record in its last ten outings. The Reds have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the NL in home offense with 4.7 runs per game. Cincinnati leads the MLB in steals, swiping 66 bases.
In games where it is the underdog, Miami has a 14-20 record and an overall money line of -1,068. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-4 record, and a 5-5 record SU.
The Reds have a 21-26 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Haren takes the mound. DeSclafani (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 21-32 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – CIN, O/U – Over
Notes
When the Marlins play into extra innings, they have a 3-1 record. The Reds are 3-5 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Marlins managed to give up six walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Reds who are heading in with a 5-4 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 4-25. The Reds have a 6-25 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks in the bottom half of the league at 20th when it comes to home runs, hitting 56 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 79.
Ranking 12th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.28 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.90.
Ranking 21st, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.695). Cincinnati ranks in the top half at 15th with an OPS of .717.
When the Marlins allow at least one home run, they are 13-24, well-matched with the Reds who are 14-27 when allowing at least one homer.
