The New York Mets will face off against the Cincinnati Reds at Citi Field. This NL showdown will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsNet New York to catch the game.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets Odds
Both teams have equal -105 moneyline odds and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Reds -1.5 runs (+140) and Mets +1.5 runs (-160).
The Mets are 45-64 straight up (SU) and 49-59 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 21.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 16.6 units (ATS). New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Reds are 48-63 SU and have gone 65-47 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 4.5 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 6.7 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
New York games have a 46-57-5 over/under record in 2018. The Reds have been a decent over bet with a total record of 58-50-4.
Sal Romano will get the start for Cincinnati. The right-handed Romano is 6-9 with a 5.12 ERA and 82 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against New York this year.
The Mets are putting the ball in the left hand of Jason Vargas (2-7, 8.23 ERA), who’s got 42 strikeouts and 20 walks this season as well as a 1.79 WHIP. Vargas is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.03, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 4.96 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.
New York’s offense has produced 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .199/.263/.348 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ hitters this year. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Rosario is hitting .233 with four homers, 28 RBIs, 42 runs and 10 steals.
In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.26 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.45 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.11, along with a K-per-9 of 7.86.
The Reds offense has slashed .256/.338/.402 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza continue to lead Cincinnati’s hitters. Gennett is hitting .310/.360/.495 with 17 home runs, 67 RBIs and 65 runs scored, while Peraza (.280/.325/.385) has produced six homers, 38 RBIs, 56 runs and 17 steals.
The Reds have gained 2.8 units and are 18-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 14.4 units and are 36-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 34 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve cashed the under.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in only two of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
Each team has swatted 11 home runs over its last 10 games.
Cincinnati has recorded 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.8 over its last five.
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