In the last of a three-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (26-31) and the Philadelphia Phillies (26-31) at the Great American Ball Park, Jon Moscot (0-1, 7.20 ERA) and Jerome Williams (3-5, 5.68 ERA) take the mound. The Reds won the last game 11-2 and Cincinnati leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 12:35 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 10 and will air on CSN-PHI.
In his last start, Moscot pitched 5.0 innings, allowing four runs, striking out three and walking three in a 6-2 loss to the Padres. Todd Frazier (.289, 39 Rs, 17 HRs, 37 RBIs, 6 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 5 with two runs, one home run, and one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Reds, Williams is 1-1 with a 5.14 ERA, 18 strikeouts and nine walks.
Cincinnati, a -139 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Philadelphia. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. The Reds perform well as a favorite with a 15-10 record, but haven’t fared as well with the overall money line (-743). They are 4-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. Cincinnati has averaged 5.4 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.0. The Reds have one of the most prolific home offenses in the entire NL, averaging 4.3 runs per game. The Reds are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with an MLB-high 56 steals. Turning to the pitching staff, the Reds are third in the NL in hits allowed with just 8.3 per game.
On the other side, the Phillies have a subpar record of 19-32 when they are the underdog and are -1,108 overall with the money line.
In their previous five games this season, the Reds have a 3-2 record. The Reds will take on a right-hander (Williams) in this game and have an 18-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Phillies will be the right-hander Moscot. They sport an 18-30 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – CIN, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Cincinnati is 9-14, while Philadelphia is 10-20.
The Reds are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 11 runs. The Phillies have a 0-2 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
It looks like the Reds have a slight leg up on the Phillies, as the Reds have won their last three games while the Phillies have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 18-8. The Phillies have a 14-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia sits at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 192 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the bottom half at 18th with 235.
Ranking 25th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 135 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 189.
When the Reds hit at least one home run, they are 22-16. When the Phillies hit at least one homer, they have a 12-14 record.
