The Pittsburgh Pirates are set to host their divisional rival Cincinnati Reds at PNC Park. The game will begin at 4:05 p.m. ET and the action will be shown on both ATPT and FSOH.
Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Pittsburgh (-120) is hosting this game as the favorite over Cincinnati (+110) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Runline odds stand at -190 for taking the Reds +1.5 runs and +165 for the Pirates -1.5.
The Pirates are 34-35 straight up (SU) and 30-38 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.6 units (ATS). Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, have gone 25-44 SU this year and are 36-32 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 13.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.2 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 33-29-6 thus far in 2018. The Reds have an over/under record of 32-34-2.
The right-handed Luis Castillo will get the start for the visiting Reds. Castillo is 4-7 with a 5.79 ERA and 74 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with eight strikeouts and a 4.91 ERA against Pittsburgh this year (two starts).
The Pirates will put the ball in the right hand of Ivan Nova (3-5, 4.68 ERA), who has 55 strikeouts and 12 walks this season as well as a 1.32 WHIP. Nova is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.58 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 30 games against divisional foes, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.24 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.60.
The Pittsburgh hitters have put up 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .253/.356/.401 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Pirates’ hitters have been led by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is hitting .306/.341/.459 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 31 runs scored, and Marte is batting .287 with eight homers, 31 RBIs, 35 runs and 13 steals.
In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.57 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 7.29 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.88, along with a K/9 of 8.13.
The Reds offense has slashed .250/.330/.385 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 3.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Cincinnati’s offense has been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto, who’ve collectively blasted 18 home runs. Gennett is slashing .337/.373/.544 with 12 home runs, 48 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Votto (.303/.426/.443) is up to six homers, 30 RBIs and 34 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 11.8 units and are 26-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 0.5 units and are 25-27 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 24 that went under.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in four of Cincinnati’s last seven outings.
The Reds have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit five over their last 10.
Cincinnati fielders have five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for Pittsburgh over its last 10.
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