The Cincinnati Reds will pay a visit to Pittsburgh to play their NL Central rival Pirates at PNC Park. The action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET and you can catch the game on ATPT and FSOH.
Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Pittsburgh (-155) is the favorite over Cincinnati (+145) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -150 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +130 for the Pirates -1.5.
The Pirates are 66-71 straight up (SU) and 65-71 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.4 units (ATS). Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven. The Reds are 59-78 SU and have gone 77-59 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 8.0 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 4.7 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Pirates games have had an over/under record of 61-66-9 in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent over bet with a total record of 70-62-4.
The right-handed Matt Harvey is the probable starter for the visiting Reds. Harvey is 6-7 with a 4.97 ERA and 101 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with nine strikeouts and a 7.36 ERA against Pittsburgh this year (three starts).
The Pirates are sending righty Trevor Williams (11-9, 3.30 ERA) to the mound. Williams has 98 punchouts and 48 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Williams is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.16 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.64 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.25, along with a WHIP of 1.44.
The Reds offense has slashed .259/.336/.407 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza continue to lead Cincinnati’s offense. Gennett is hitting .319/.367/.495 with 19 home runs, 81 RBIs and 79 runs scored. Peraza (.285/.325/.400) is up to nine homers, 45 RBIs, 73 runs and 20 steals.
For the home team, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.10, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 4.01 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 57 games against NL Central foes, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.50 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.26.
The Pittsburgh offense has produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 1.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .201/.256/.250 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Outfielders Starling Marte and Corey Dickerson have led the Pirates’ hitters this year. Marte is hitting .279/.324/.455 with 17 home runs, 61 RBIs, 68 runs and 30 stolen bases, while Dickerson’s line is .293/.323/.457 with 11 homers, 46 RBIs and 54 runs.
The Reds have lost 12.0 units and are 54-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 49 of those games, as opposed to 47 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 3.8 units and are 48-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 51 that went under.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Cincinnati has tallied 21 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Pittsburgh has six XBH over its last five.
The Pirates have dropped three of their last four games SU.
Pittsburgh has recorded 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.0 over its last five.
The Reds have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
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