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Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Game Pick

Michael Lorenzen (1-1, 3.06 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (23-30) go up against Odrisamer Despaigne (3-3, 4.56 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (28-28) in the second of a three-game series at the Great American Ball Park. The Padres won the last game 6-2 and San Diego leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 6 and will air on FSN-SD and FSN-OH.

In his most recent outing, Lorenzen pitched 0.0 inning, giving up zero runs in a 5-4 loss to the Phillies. Joey Votto (.289, 24 Rs, 10 HRs, 30 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with two RBIs. The Padres were victorious over the Pirates 7-1 the last time Despaigne pitched. He went 8.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out four and walking one. Justin Upton (.299, 36 Rs, 12 HRs, 37 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.

Cincinnati is a -121 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Reds have a 13-10 record and overall money line at -743. The Reds are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with an MLB-high 54 steals.

Moving on to the away team, the Padres come into this game with a weak win percentage of .367 when playing as the underdog (11-19) and an overall money line of -130.

So far this season, the Padres are 1-0 against the Reds. The Reds will take on a right-hander (Despaigne) in this game and have a 17-22 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Padres will be the right-hander Lorenzen. They sport a 19-23 record against righties.

Predictions: SU Winner – CIN, O/U – Over

Notes

When the Padres play into extra innings, they have a 2-2 record. The Reds are 1-4 when their games exceed nine innings.

The Padres managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Reds who are heading in with a 13-7 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.

When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 15-7. The Padres have a 21-3 record when outhitting opponents.

Ranking 26th in runs, Cincinnati has earned 207 this season. San Diego ranks fifth with 245 runs.

Ranking 21st, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 139 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 179.

The Reds are 19-15 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Padres are 19-8 when they hit at least one homer.

Written by GMS Previews

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