The Washington Nationals are set to host the Cincinnati Reds at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast this NL matchup. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Cincinnati (+240) is entering this one as the underdog against Washington (-275) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at +110 for the Reds +1.5 runs and -130 for the Nationals -1.5 runs.
The Reds have gone 47-58 SU this year and are 63-44 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot this year, losing 2.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having gained 8.1 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 52-52 SU and 50-56 ATS. They’ve lost 19.5 units for moneyline bettors and 9.1 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Nationals games have an over/under record of 44-60-2 in 2018. The Reds have been a decent over bet with a total record of 56-47-4.
Tyler Mahle will get the nod for the visiting Reds. The right-handed Mahle (7-8, 4.53 ERA) has recorded 104 strikeouts in 107.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Nationals are putting the ball in the right hand of Max Scherzer (14-5, 2.30 ERA), who has 200 strikeouts and 36 walks as well as a 0.90 WHIP. Scherzer is 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
As a unit, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.97 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.64 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.
The Washington offense has produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .258/.356/.449 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the Nationals’ offense this year. Turner is slashing .267/.338/.412 with 13 home runs, 43 RBIs, 60 runs and 24 steals, and Rendon is hitting .284 with 15 homers, 47 RBIs and 47 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.24 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.50 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.13, along with a WHIP of 1.44.
The Reds offense has slashed .258/.341/.404 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Cincinnati’s offensive production has been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is slashing .317/.368/.503 with 16 home runs, 65 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Peraza is slashing .293/.339/.395 with five homers, 35 RBIs, 55 runs and 17 steals.
The Reds have lost 3.2 units and are 46-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 37 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 5.7 units and are 39-38 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 31 of those games, as opposed to 45 that’ve gone under.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in three of Washington’s last seven games.
The Reds have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
Cincinnati has posted 18.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.4 over its last five.
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