The Citadel Bulldogs (9-9, 1-6 SoCon) visit UNCG to play the Spartans (17-3, 6-1 SoCon) in what should be a high-scoring game. The game begins at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 24, 2019.
Citadel Bulldogs vs. UNCG Spartans Free Prediction
The last time the Bulldogs played, they were topped by the Chattanooga Mocs, 73-71. Chattanooga’s 0.259 free throw rate was their biggest strength over Citadel, who had a rate of 0.072. The Mocs’ mark was above their season average of 0.178, while the Bulldogs’ was below their season average of 0.207. Lew Stallworth was Citadel’s high scorer with 22 points on 9-for-19 shooting.
The Spartans were victorious over the East Tennessee State Buccaneers in their last outing, 75-68. UNCG’s turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over East Tennessee State. The Spartans had a rate of 17.5 (worse than their season average of 14.1), while the Buccaneers posted a mark of 20.5. With 10 points and nine rebounds, UNCG’s James Dickey played well.
After the Spartans won all three contests against the Bulldogs last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last game, UNCG won 72-58. The Spartans had a much better turnover percentage (13.2 vs. 18.7) and had a better free throw rate (0.169 vs. 0.123).
UNCG could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their high-octane offense squares off against one of the worst defenses in the NCAA. The Spartans rank 55th in offensive efficiency, while Citadel ranks 313th in defensive efficiency. Also, the Bulldogs commit the 13th-fewest errors in the nation (turnover percentage of 15.3 percent), while the pesky defense of the Spartans causes the fifth-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 25.2 percent).
Citadel Bulldogs vs. UNCG Spartans Betting Pick
Basketball Pick: SU Winner – UNCG, ATS Winner – UNCG, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
UNCG ranks 43rd in three pointers allowed per game (19.6) while Citadel ranks 276th (31.1).
The Spartans rank 30th in assists allowed per game (10.7) while the Bulldogs rank 250th (18.4).
UNCG ranks 107th in rebounds allowed per game (34.1) while Citadel ranks 277th (42.4).
The Spartans average 8.6 steals per game, which ranks 17th in the nation. The Bulldogs rank 136th in steals allowed per game (6.9).
UNCG ranks 45th in blocks allowed per game (2.8) while Citadel ranks 107th (3.6).
Bettings Trends:
The Bulldogs have been outscored by an average of 11.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Citadel has defeated opponents by an average of 5.3 points.
During their last five games, the Spartans have scored an average of 69.4 points per game (8.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 69.4 points per game (3.2 above their season average).
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