The Orlando Magic (3-6) challenge the Cleveland Cavaliers (1-8) at the Amway Center. The game will air on Fox Sports – Ohio at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, November 5, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 212 points with Orlando opening as a 3-point favorite.
Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic ATS Prediction
The Cavaliers are hoping to rebound after not being able to cover as 10-point underdogs in their 126-94 loss to the Charlotte Hornets in their last contest. The combined points for the game (220) came in just under the O/U total of 221.5. Charlotte’s rebounding was their biggest strength. The Hornets had more offensive rebounds (12 vs. three), defensive rebounds (38 vs. 24) and total rebounds (50 vs. 27). J.R. Smith was Cleveland’s leading scorer with 14 points on 4-for-8 shooting.
In the Magic’s last game, they beat the San Antonio Spurs, 117-110, covering as 3.5-point favorites. The combined points for the game (227) came in over the projected point total of 219.5. The Magic had a turnover percentage of 7.5 (better than their season average of 11.1) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.571 (above their season average of 0.465). Aaron Gordon was the top scorer from either team with 26 points on 11-for-20 shooting from the field.
These two teams split four games last season. The Magic won the last matchup 116-98. The Magic had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (30.8 vs. 19.1) and had a better free throw rate (0.205 vs. 0.167).
Cleveland heads into the contest with records of 1-8 straight up (SU) and 4-5 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to set the total low when the Cavaliers are involved, as five of their nine contests have ended over the total.
Meanwhile, Orlando is 3-6 SU and 3-5 ATS. Contrary to Cleveland, games including the Magic have a tendency to finish under the projected point total (75.0 percent).
Cleveland figures to have an advantage on the offensive glass in this showdown. The Cavaliers rank second in offensive rebounding percentage (21.3 percent), while Orlando ranks 18th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.7 percent) since last season.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Orlando Magic Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Cavaliers, ATS Winner – Cavaliers, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Cleveland is 22-6 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Orlando is 13-9.
In games where they reach 100 points, the Cavaliers are 59-26 and the Magic are 26-33.
Cleveland ranks fourth in rebounds allowed per game (42.8) while Orlando ranks 27th (46.3).
The Magic rank eighth in blocks per game (5.0) while the Cavaliers rank 28th (3.8).
Orlando ranks eighth in points allowed in the paint per game (47.9) while Cleveland ranks 27th (47.5).
The Magic rank 12th in three pointers attempted per game (29.6) while the Cavaliers rank last (31.0).
Orlando ranks ninth in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9) while Cleveland ranks 26th (16.2).
The Magic rank fifth in fast break points allowed per game (12.8) while the Cavaliers rank 21st (11.9).
Orlando ranks 11th in assists per game (23.6) while Cleveland ranks 26th (22.3).
The Magic rank first in steals allowed per game (7.6) while the Cavaliers rank 13th (7.3).
Orlando averages 11.2 second chance points per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Cleveland ranks 16th in second chance points allowed per game (12.7).
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