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Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox Free Pick 09/25/18

Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Indians are set to take on their AL Central foe Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. The matchup will begin at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsTime Ohio to catch the game.

Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox Odds

The Indians are 88-68 SU and have gone 73-82 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 22.6 units for moneyline bettors and 19.6 units ATS. Cleveland is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 61-95 SU and 79-76 ATS. They’ve lost 14.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.8 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Chicago games have an over/under record of 72-75-8 in 2018. Cleveland has an over/under record of 74-72-9.

Trevor Bauer will get the nod for the visiting Indians. The right-handed Bauer is 12-6 with a 2.21 ERA and 215 strikeouts. He’s 2-1 with 28 strikeouts and a 1.71 ERA against Chicago this year (three starts).

The White Sox will put the ball in the right hand of James Shields (7-16, 4.48 ERA, 1.30 WHIP), who’s got 148 strikeouts and 74 walks. Shields is 1-1 with seven strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA over three starts against Cleveland this year.

As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.91, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.8. The bullpen has a 4.51 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 70 games against AL Central foes, White Sox starters have an ERA of 4.61 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.41.

Chicago’s offense is putting up 4.1 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .256/.298/.361 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The White Sox hitters have been led by third baseman Yolmer Sanchez and shortstop Tim Anderson. Sanchez is slashing .244/.310/.375 with eight home runs, 52 RBIs, 58 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Anderson’s line is .243/.284/.411 with 20 homers, 64 RBIs, 76 runs and 26 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.42 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.64 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.48, along with a WHIP of 1.15 and a K-per-9 of 9.26.

Indians hitters have slashed .257/.333/.433 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley have paced Cleveland’s hitters. Lindor is slashing .281/.355/.524 with 36 home runs, 89 RBIs, 124 runs and 23 stolen bases, while Brantley (.309/.363/.471) has produced 17 homers, 75 RBIs and 86 runs scored.

The Indians have lost 12.5 units and are 55-59 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 55 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 9.9 units and are 58-57 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 54 of those games, compared to 54 that went under the total.

Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – White Sox, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Cleveland has recorded 17 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Chicago has 11 XBH over its last five.

Cleveland has posted 25 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26 over its last five.

The Indians have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The White Sox have hit 14 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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