The Cincinnati Reds are trying to avoid losing their fourth consecutive game as they play host to the Cleveland Indians at Great American Ball Park. SportsTime Ohio will televise this interleague matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Cleveland Indians vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (+160) is the home-team underdog to Cleveland (-170) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). You can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -120 for the Indians -1.5 runs and +100 for the Reds +1.5.
The Reds are 68-51 against the spread (ATS), but just 52-68 straight up (SU). The team hasn’t moved the needle much for gamblers, losing 4.6 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 4.6 units (ATS). Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Indians have gone 68-51 SU this year and are 58-60 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 12.8 units for moneyline bettors and 8.3 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Reds games have had an over/under record of 63-52-4 in 2018. Cleveland has also been a decent over bet with a total record of 60-54-4.
Right-hander Shane Bieber is projected to start for the visiting Indians. Bieber is 6-2 with a 4.24 ERA and 66 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Reds are putting the ball in the right hand of Robert Stephenson (0-1, 6.75 ERA), who has four strikeouts and five walks this season as well as a 2.00 WHIP. Stephenson did not record a start against the Indians in 2017.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.26, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 7.9 K/9.
The Cincinnati hitters have put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 2.8 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .250/.326/.363 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have led the Reds’ batters this year. Gennett is slashing .304/.354/.482 with 18 home runs, 69 RBIs and 68 runs scored, and Peraza is batting .283 with six homers, 39 RBIs, 62 runs and 18 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.31 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 9.40 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.93, along with a K/9 of 8.80.
Indians hitters have slashed .260/.333/.442 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez have paced Cleveland’s hitters. Lindor is slashing .293/.373/.557 with 29 home runs, 74 RBIs, 102 runs and 19 steals, while Ramirez (.305/.414/.640) is up to 36 homers, 89 RBIs, 84 runs and 27 stolen bases.
The Indians have lost 11.9 units and are 42-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 45 of those games, as opposed to 39 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 10.1 units and are 48-40 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 45 of those games, compared to 40 that went under the total.
Cleveland Indians vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Cleveland has logged 16 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Cincinnati has 10 XBH over its last five.
The Indians have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit seven over their last 10.
Cincinnati has posted 18.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.0 over its last five.
The Indians have won six of their last seven games SU.
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