The Cleveland Indians will take on their divisional rival Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio is in line to broadcast the matchup.
Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Cleveland (-135) as the favorite over Detroit (+125). The total sits at 9.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -105 and the under for -115. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +110 for taking the Indians -1.5 runs and -130 for the Tigers +1.5 runs.
The Tigers are 18-22 SU and 22-17 ATS. The team has lost 0.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 1.3 units against the spread (ATS). Detroit has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Indians have gone 20-20 SU this year and are 16-23 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 8.3 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 9.2 units ATS. Cleveland is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Detroit games have had an over/under record of 17-21-1 so far in 2018. Cleveland has an over/under record of 20-18-1.
The right-handed Josh Tomlin will get the start for the visiting Indians. Tomlin is 0-4 with an 8.06 ERA and 14 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Detroit this year (two starts).
The Tigers are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Francisco Liriano (3-1, 3.35 ERA), who has 29 punchouts and 20 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.17. Liriano is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Cleveland this year.
Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.45 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 8.25 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.45, along with a K-per-9 of 9.28.
Indians hitters have slashed .246/.316/.435 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Cleveland’s hitters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez, who’ve collectively blasted 25 home runs. Lindor is slashing .318/.383/.612 with 12 home runs, 26 RBIs, 34 runs and five stolen bases, while Ramirez (.288/.381/.614) is up to 13 homers, 28 RBIs, 28 runs and six stolen bases.
Ramirez thrived hitting against lefty pitching on the road in 2017. Over 126 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .356/.397/.695 (compared to his overall season line of .318/.374/.583).
For the home team, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.08 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.45 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 18 games against divisional opponents, Tigers starters have an ERA of 3.36 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.56.
Detroit’s offense has put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .283/.340/.457 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario have led the Tigers’ hitters so far. Castellanos is slashing .326/.386/.500 with three home runs, 23 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Candelario’s line is .272/.359/.497 with five homers, 16 RBIs and 21 runs.
Candelario enjoyed hitting against righties at home last year, slashing .365/.468/.538 across 62 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .283/.359/.425).
The Indians have lost 0.1 units and are 6-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 3.2 units and are 16-14 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under.
Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Cleveland fielders have 12 errors over the last 10 games, compared to seven errors for Detroit over its last 10.
The Indians have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.
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