The Cleveland Indians will be taking on the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. This AL showdown can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the first pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET.
Cleveland Indians vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
Vegas is listing Cleveland (-170) as the favorite over Baltimore (+160). Bettors are able to wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -120 for over 9 runs and even money (+100) for under 9. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -120 for the Indians -1.5 runs and +100 for the Orioles +1.5 runs.
The Orioles are just 6-14 SU and 6-13 ATS. The team’s lost 7.5 units for moneyline bettors and 7.7 units against the spread (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 9-8 SU and have gone 6-10 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 1.6 units for moneyline bettors through the early part of the season and 5.0 units ATS. Clevelandhas covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Orioles games have had an over/under record of 8-10-1 so far in 2018. The Indians have been a decent under bet with a total record of 5-11.
The right-handed Mike Clevinger is the probable starter for Cleveland. Clevinger is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 14 strikeouts. He has yet to face Baltimore this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2017, posting a 2-0 record with a 1.64 ERA and 11 strikeouts.
The Orioles are planning to start righty Chris Tillman (0-3, 11.91 ERA), who has three strikeouts and 10 walks to his name, as well as a 2.82 WHIP. Tillman only made one start against the Indians in 2017 (0-0, 10.38 ERA across 4.1 innings).
Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 3.0 runs per game and its starters own a 2.81 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 8.17 K/9. The bullpen has managed an outstanding ERA of just 2.74, along with a WHIP of 1.03.
The Indians offense has slashed .207/.282/.341 on its way to 3.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Cleveland’s hitters have been powered by left fielder Michael Brantley and third baseman Jose Ramirez. Brantley is slashing .351/.385/.514 with 13 hits, six RBIs and two runs scored, while Ramirez is hitting .188 with 12 hits, four homers, eight RBIs and seven runs scored.
For the home team, Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 5.19 ERA, 1.62 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.54 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.
The Baltimore hitters have produced 3.5 runs per outing, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .222/.304/.426 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez have led the Orioles’ offense this year. Machado is hitting .338/.418/.650 with six home runs, 15 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Alvarez’s line is .257/.395/.486 with nine hits, seven RBIs and six runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .260/.311/.473, Machado performed well against righty pitching at home last season, slashing .286/.355/.534 over 265 such plate appearances.
The Indians have lost 4.0 units and are 5-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 4.3 units and are 3-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to seven which went under the total.
Cleveland Indians vs. Baltimore Orioles Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Indians have lost three of their last four games SU.
Cleveland has recorded 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.0 over its last five.
The Indians have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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