The Cleveland Indians will pay a visit to Comerica Park to do battle against their divisional rival Detroit Tigers. SportsTime Ohio will televise the action and the game will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Detroit (+195) as the underdog to Cleveland (-215). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 8.5 runs and -110 for under 8.5. The game’s current runline odds stand at -145 for taking the Indians -1.5 runs and +125 for the Tigers +1.5.
The Indians have gone 20-19 SU this year and are 15-23 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline over the early part of the season and 10.2 units ATS. Cleveland is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 17-22 SU and 21-17 ATS. The team has lost 2.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.0 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.
Detroit games have an over/under record of 16-21-1 so far in 2018. Cleveland has an over/under record of 19-18-1.
Right-hander Carlos Carrasco is projected to start for the visiting Indians. Carrasco is 5-1 with a 3.61 ERA and 53 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.00 ERA against Detroit this year (six starts).
The Tigers are putting the ball in the right hand of Mike Fiers (3-2, 4.73 ERA), who has 21 strikeouts and five walks as well as a 1.30 WHIP. Fiers has yet to face the Indians this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, putting together a 0-1 record with a 2.61 ERA and six strikeouts.
Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.16, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 4.48 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 17 games against AL Central foes, Tigers starters have an ERA of 3.49 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.59.
The Detroit hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .286/.342/.474 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Tigers’ batters have been led by outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario. Castellanos is hitting .326/.386/.500 with three home runs, 23 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Candelario’s line is .272/.359/.497 with five homers, 16 RBIs and 21 runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .283/.359/.425, Candelario performed well against right-handed pitching at home last year, slashing .365/.468/.538 across 62 plate appearances.
For the visitors, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.44 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 8.33 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.26, along with a K-per-9 of 9.23.
Indians hitters have slashed .247/.318/.437 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Cleveland’s offensive production been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez, who’ve collectively belted 24 home runs. Lindor is slashing .321/.388/.624 with 12 home runs, 25 RBIs, 34 runs and five stolen bases, while Ramirez (.287/.378/.600) is up to 12 homers, 27 RBIs, 26 runs and six stolen bases.
Putting up a slash line of .220/.270/.439 across 241 such plate appearances, Lindor did not do as well batting against righties on the road last year (compared to his overall season slash line of .273/.337/.505).
The Indians have lost 8.2 units and are 10-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 3.2 units and are 16-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 10 of those games, compared to 19 which went under the total.
Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Cleveland fielders have 13 errors over the last 10 games, compared to six errors for Detroit over its last 10.
The Indians have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
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