The Cleveland Indians will head west to Target Field to face off against their AL Central foe Minnesota Twins. SportsTime Ohio will be televising the matchup and the game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins Odds
Minnesota (+120) is coming into this one as the underdog against Cleveland (-130) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds coming in at Indians -1.5 runs (+115) and Twins +1.5 runs (-135).
The Indians are 56-47 SU and have gone 49-54 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.8 units ATS. Cleveland is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 48-55 SU and 58-45 ATS. They’ve lost 9.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 10.9 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Minnesota games have an over/under record of 50-50-3 in 2018. The Indians have been a decent over bet with a total record of 54-45-4.
Shane Bieber will get the start for the visiting Indians. The right-handed Bieber (5-2, 4.80 ERA) has racked up 44 strikeouts in 44 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 3.97 ERA against Minnesota this year (two starts).
The Twins will turn to righty Ervin Santana (0-0, 5.40 ERA), who’s got five strikeouts and one walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.60. Santana has yet to face the Indians this year, but he made four starts against them in 2017, posting a perfect 2-0 record with a 0.38 ERA and 17 strikeouts.
Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.53 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.39 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.08, along with a WHIP of 1.17.
Indians hitters have slashed .257/.329/.441 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Cleveland’s offense has been fueled by shortstop Francisco Lindor and outfielder Michael Brantley, who’ve collectively belted 39 home runs. Lindor is slashing .292/.368/.567 with 27 home runs, 66 RBIs, 90 runs and 15 stolen bases, while Brantley (.304/.349/.476) is up to 12 homers, 57 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
For the home team, Minnesota’s pitching staff has allowed 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.32, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.78 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 36 games against divisional foes, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.32 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.85.
The Minnesota hitters have produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .251/.324/.374 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar have paced the Twins’ batters this year. Rosario is slashing .306/.348/.513 with 19 home runs, 64 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Escobar’s line sits at .274/.338/.514 with 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs.
The Indians have lost 18.2 units and are 34-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 33 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 5.8 units and are 39-34 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 39 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve cashed the under.
Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.
Minnesota has posted 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.0 over its last five.
The Indians have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit seven over their last 10.
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